Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Malika - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 RYU Natalee - - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
3 ZHAO Crystal - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 5%
3 URICHECK Julianna - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
5 LIU Brinley - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
6 WANG Hailie - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
7 LIOU Skylar - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
8 AINSWORTH Esme - 3% 14% 34% 35% 14%
9 ZHAO Rachel - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
10 HARSAR Cleo - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
11 CHUNG Yenna - - 2% 14% 37% 36% 10%
12 CHONG Emma - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
13 ABDELKAREM Maya - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
14 CHANEY Evelyn - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
15 LIU sienna - - 6% 26% 40% 24% 4%
16 DOROSHKEVICH Maria - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
17 VILLER Gabriella - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
18 ERATA Selena - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
19 HE Joyce - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
20 JUBILEE Beata - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
21 DEFENSOR Ella - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
22 YOON Michelle 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
23 GROMOVA Vlada 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
24 LEE Gloria - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
25 LEE Zerah 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
26 GALIOTE Nora 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
27 CHOI Noah - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11%
28 MAO Faith - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
29 YOU Nina - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
30 XIA Kaelynn - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
31 WONG Dorothy 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
32 YU Catherine 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% -
33 MU Jasmine 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
34 HONG Catherine - - 3% 17% 40% 36% 3%
35 LEE JiWon 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
36 XIANG Kellina - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
37 LAU Carys Bella 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
38 SALIBA Madison 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
40 KIM Eila 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
41 MENG Yinuo 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
42 LAI Serena 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
43 WAGENAAR Ava 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
44 LUK-SOLARZ Madison 10% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
45 CHEN Tianyi - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
46 BIRZ Vivi 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
47 SADOFSKY Millie - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
48 LUO MAOMAO 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
49 LIU Clara 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
50 GROMOVA Eva 12% 39% 36% 11% 2% - -
51 GAI Stephanie 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
52 YOUN Caila 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
53 GOLDEN Layla 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
54 ZHANG Grace 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
55 STAFFORD Thylane 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
56 LOUVOT Chloe 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
57 HARVILICZ Penelope 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
58 COONEY Kyla - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
59 ZHENG Helen - 1% 19% 46% 29% 5%
60 COSTLOW Christine 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
61 LIU Sophie Wei 6% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
62 LIAN Cailey 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
63 VAZIRANI Zara 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
64 DONSON Christine 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
65 SUCHORSKI Sofia 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
66 SAAD Emmalyn 5% 25% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
67 GUERRERO Isabela 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
67 ABEZGAUZ Talia 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
69 SUCHORSKI Zuzanna 36% 45% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.