Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
2 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
3 ZHAO Crystal 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
3 URICHECK Julianna 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
5 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
6 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 LIOU Skylar 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
8 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
9 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
10 HARSAR Cleo 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
11 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
12 CHONG Emma 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
13 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
14 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
15 LIU sienna 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 28% 4%
16 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
17 VILLER Gabriella 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
18 ERATA Selena 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
19 HE Joyce 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
20 JUBILEE Beata 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
21 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 10%
22 YOON Michelle 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
23 GROMOVA Vlada 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
24 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
25 LEE Zerah 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
26 GALIOTE Nora 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
27 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
28 MAO Faith 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
29 YOU Nina 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
30 XIA Kaelynn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
31 WONG Dorothy 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
32 YU Catherine 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
33 MU Jasmine 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
34 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 3%
35 LEE JiWon 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
36 XIANG Kellina 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
37 LAU Carys Bella 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
38 SALIBA Madison 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
40 KIM Eila 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
41 MENG Yinuo 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
42 LAI Serena 100% 95% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
43 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
44 LUK-SOLARZ Madison 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
45 CHEN Tianyi 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
46 BIRZ Vivi 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
47 SADOFSKY Millie 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 12%
48 LUO MAOMAO 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
49 LIU Clara 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
50 GROMOVA Eva 100% 88% 49% 13% 2% - -
51 GAI Stephanie 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
52 YOUN Caila 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
53 GOLDEN Layla 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
54 ZHANG Grace 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
55 STAFFORD Thylane 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
56 LOUVOT Chloe 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
57 HARVILICZ Penelope 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
58 COONEY Kyla 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
59 ZHENG Helen 100% 100% 99% 79% 34% 5%
60 COSTLOW Christine 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
61 LIU Sophie Wei 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
62 LIAN Cailey 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
63 VAZIRANI Zara 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% - -
64 DONSON Christine 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
65 SUCHORSKI Sofia 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
66 SAAD Emmalyn 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
67 GUERRERO Isabela 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
67 ABEZGAUZ Talia 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
69 SUCHORSKI Zuzanna 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.