Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Wallace - - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 LIN Lucas - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
3 LYU Brandon - - - - 4% 26% 70%
3 CAO Aaron - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
5 TAO Jiemi - - - - 4% 30% 66%
6 YOON Mason - - 1% 10% 34% 45% 10%
7 ZHANG Eric - - - 2% 14% 46% 37%
8 ROSOWSKY Phoenix - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
9 HUANG Dalynn - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
10 YANG Luca - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
11 PARK Joshua - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
12 LIU Bradley - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
13 MOON Nolan - 4% 20% 38% 30% 9%
14 GENG Vincent - - 2% 13% 39% 37% 9%
15 TARDIFF Owen - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 2%
16 YU Ethan - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
17 XIA Wenhao - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
18 WILSON Jacob - - - 3% 19% 49% 29%
19 LU Ethan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
20 SUN Lucas - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
21 CASCONE Raffaele - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
22 JAZWINSKI Archer - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7% -
23 CHANG Owen - 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
24 WU Yulen - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
25 CHEN Keegan - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
26 MENG Andy - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
27 CHEN Jesse 1% 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
28 HO Kasper - - 2% 15% 40% 35% 8%
29 XU Daniel - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
29 YU Oliver - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
31 FANG Lionel - 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 3%
32 HAN Jayden 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
33 PECK Henrik 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
34 HUANG Lucas - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
35 LIN Alexander 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
36 DEL VALLE-LIN Julian - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8% 1%
37 LIU Benji - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
38 KIM JOSHUA 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
39 STARK Ethan - 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
40 HAN Owen 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
40 MOSAMEH Faraj 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
42 AN Graham 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
43 LIU Charles 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
44 LU Jason 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
45 WANG Owen - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
46 YUAN Vincent 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
47 NIE Grant - 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
48 PATEL Niam - 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
49 OBRIEN Seamus 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
50 FAN Oscar 1% 12% 35% 36% 13% 2% -
51 CHEN Andrew - 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
52 GUTH Samuel 3% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
53 CAI Charlie 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
54 KIM ISAAC 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
55 BROD Baylin 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
56 HWANG Samuel 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
57 DAYAL Dax 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
58 WANG Eason 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
58 LIANG Anker - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
58 MORONES Amisael 4% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1% -
61 HO Marcus - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
62 CREANGA Matthew 20% 48% 26% 6% 1% - -
63 CHEN Alwyn 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
63 SHUKLA Arjoon - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% -
65 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
66 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 28% 43% 23% 5% - - -
67 DUDLEY William 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2%
68 CHEN Aidan 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
69 LYSHKOUSKI Daniil 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
70 CHOI Christian - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9% 1%
71 NIU Charlie 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
72 JI Eli 31% 49% 17% 3% - - -
73 WOOD Theodore 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
74 GOEL Sanav 48% 41% 9% 1% - - -
75 BUCHNER Theodore 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
76 ZHANG Tingyu 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
77 WILK Aaron 89% 10% - - - -
78 KIM Nicholas 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
79 GERELUS Grant 62% 32% 6% - - - -
80 ALLEN Ashton 35% 46% 16% 2% - - -
81 MERA-BRITO Gabriel 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
82 STANSBURY Malcolm 74% 23% 3% - - - -
83 BOGEN Jeffrey 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.