Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 LYU Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
5 TAO Jiemi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
6 YOON Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 10%
7 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
8 ROSOWSKY Phoenix 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
9 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
10 YANG Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
11 PARK Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
12 LIU Bradley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
13 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
14 GENG Vincent 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 9%
15 TARDIFF Owen 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24% 2%
16 YU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
17 XIA Wenhao 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
18 WILSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
19 LU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
20 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
21 CASCONE Raffaele 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
22 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7% -
23 CHANG Owen 100% 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
24 WU Yulen 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
25 CHEN Keegan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
26 MENG Andy 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
27 CHEN Jesse 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
28 HO Kasper 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
29 XU Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
29 YU Oliver 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
31 FANG Lionel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
32 HAN Jayden 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10% 1%
33 PECK Henrik 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% - -
34 HUANG Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
35 LIN Alexander 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
36 DEL VALLE-LIN Julian 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9% 1%
37 LIU Benji 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
38 KIM JOSHUA 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
39 STARK Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
40 HAN Owen 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
40 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
42 AN Graham 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
43 LIU Charles 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
44 LU Jason 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
45 WANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
46 YUAN Vincent 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
47 NIE Grant 100% 100% 82% 43% 12% 1%
48 PATEL Niam 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
49 OBRIEN Seamus 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
50 FAN Oscar 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2% -
51 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
52 GUTH Samuel 100% 97% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
53 CAI Charlie 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
54 KIM ISAAC 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
55 BROD Baylin 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
56 HWANG Samuel 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
57 DAYAL Dax 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
58 WANG Eason 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
58 LIANG Anker 100% 100% 92% 65% 25% 4% -
58 MORONES Amisael 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% 1% -
61 HO Marcus 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
62 CREANGA Matthew 100% 80% 32% 7% 1% - -
63 CHEN Alwyn 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
63 SHUKLA Arjoon 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% -
65 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
66 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
67 DUDLEY William 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2%
68 CHEN Aidan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
69 LYSHKOUSKI Daniil 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
70 CHOI Christian 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10% 1%
71 NIU Charlie 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
72 JI Eli 100% 69% 20% 3% - - -
73 WOOD Theodore 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
74 GOEL Sanav 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
75 BUCHNER Theodore 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
76 ZHANG Tingyu 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
77 WILK Aaron 100% 11% - - - -
78 KIM Nicholas 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
79 GERELUS Grant 100% 38% 6% - - - -
80 ALLEN Ashton 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
81 MERA-BRITO Gabriel 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
82 STANSBURY Malcolm 100% 26% 3% - - - -
83 BOGEN Jeffrey 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.