San Diego Senior Cup #4

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 9:00 AM

San Diego Academy - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
3 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
5 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
6 HAU Pak-Kei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
7 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 14%
8 HARRIS Roark S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
9 GADHVI Darius 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 5% -
10 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
11 KNIGHT Alex 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
12 PATE Lance 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
13 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% -
14 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 8%
15 ALLEN David 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44% 8%
16 NORTON Henry 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
17 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 4%
18 VON DER KRET Eliot 100% 99% 90% 50% 8% - -
19 LIANG Dong 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 5% -
20 HERD Angela 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
21 LINARES Chantal 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
22 BENJAMIN Stephanie 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
23 NEISINGH Isabelle 100% 98% 76% 28% 4% - -
24 XUE Chenming 100% 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
25 PICKETT Alexander 100% 94% 40% 8% 1% - -
26 RIDLEY Alan P. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
27 LAU Caleb 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
28 HORN Evans 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
29 KENO Daniel 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
30 CREASON Nicholas 100% 88% 50% 14% 1% - -
31 BARTON Isabelle 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% - -
31 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8% -
33 PARSONS Charlie 100% 15% 1% - - - -
34 CHAN Allison M. 100% 95% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
35 WEINBERG Ron 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.