March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
3 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
5 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 24%
6 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
8 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
9 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
10 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 7%
11 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
12 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
13 DUFF Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
14 PARK Layne 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6%
15 PARK Sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
16 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
17 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
18 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
19 THOMAS Tre 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
20 SU Eric 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
21 YE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
22 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
23 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
24 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
25 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38%
26 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
26 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
28 LU Simon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
29 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
30 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
31 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
32 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 4%
33 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 28%
33 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 15%
35 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
36 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
36 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
38 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
39 WANG James 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
40 LEE Jayden Junhyuk 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
41 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
42 LAI Mars 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 6%
43 PI Edwin 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
44 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
45 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
46 GILBERT Ari 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
47 ATA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 26% 3%
48 CHEN Harrison 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2% -
49 WANG Harrison 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
50 MAUREL Louis 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
52 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
53 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
54 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
55 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
56 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
57 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
58 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
59 FAVO Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
60 FAKHRI Adrian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
61 BABY Henry 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
62 MAKLIN David 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
63 IP Hunter 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
64 RISMAN Edward 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
65 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
66 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
67 MOTOV Max 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
68 LI Sky 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
69 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
70 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
70 CAO Chuck 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
72 LIU Dylan 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
73 MO Ian 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
74 LAN Jasper 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
75 KO-GALLOWAY Keaton 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
76 TAK Kion 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
77 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
78 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
79 GUCCIARDI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
80 JI Derek 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
81 ILICHEV Timur 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
82 LI Nathan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
83 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 100% 92% 58% 13%
84 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
85 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
86 MARTIRE Francis 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2%
87 GALANG Aiden 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
88 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
89 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 100% 88% 43% 10% 1% - -
90 KURBANOV Tamir 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 8% 1%
91 DING Orlando 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1% -
92 LEI Isaac 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
93 STYS Owen 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
93 CHOI Clayton 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
95 QI Zach 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
96 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
97 DENG Richard 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
98 GONG Johnny 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
99 SUH Jordan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
100 LI Derek 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
101 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
102 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 99% 76% 28% 3%
104 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
105 LI kevin 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1% -
107 OH Caleb 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
108 RAHMAN Noah 100% 98% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
109 LEE Augustine 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
110 RIMMELE Sven Yan 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
111 GHIM Ethan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
112 GUO Joe 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
113 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
114 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
114 LOVELL Jackson 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
116 NAYAK Kush 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
117 DIORIO James 100% 96% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
118 WU Dylan 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
118 BABY Jacob 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
120 SEVERT David 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
121 SCOTT Clark 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
122 BAIER Leon 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
123 BROOKS Grant 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
124 CHEN Donovan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
125 TAK Sion 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
126 HEILMANN Caleb 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
127 PALERMO Evan 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
128 TIAGI Ronald 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 4% -
129 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
130 KELLY Collin 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
130 BERKI wyatt 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
132 ZHANG Leon 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
133 OLSON Prescott 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
134 LEIGH Anthony 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
135 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
136 BECKER Grayson 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
138 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
139 ZHAO Evan 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -
140 HUANG Joseph 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
141 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
142 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
143 QIAO Jason 100% 97% 56% 14% 1%
144 STEVENS Emeric 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
145 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Atticus A 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
146 WANG Thomas 100% 93% 56% 19% 4% - -
147 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
148 CARD Ewan 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
149 MUKHERJEE Krish 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 4%
150 KWON Joon 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
151 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
152 FIGUS Fabio 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
153 WONG Jacob 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
154 VINCENT Yian 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 6% 1%
154 BOOKER Gavin 100% 70% 30% 8% 1% - -
156 YEAZEL Reid 100% 95% 59% 21% 4% - -
157 GUI Kyle 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
158 BOYD Zachary 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
159 JIAO Lawrence 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
160 GUINN Robert 100% 67% 20% 2% - - -
161 YUEN Aulden 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
162 NG Jaden 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
163 WENG Lawrence 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
164 CHIN Domyeong 100% 38% 6% - - - -
165 CHANG Allen 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
166 KIM Dylan 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
167 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
168 PICACHE Merrick 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% - -
169 LEE Caleb 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
170 MACIE Theodore 100% 13% 1% - -
171 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
171 NABOKA Ruslan 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% - -
173 LIANG Henry 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
174 GUPTA Abir 100% 35% 4% - - - -
175 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% 1% -
175 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
175 KHAN Zorayz 100% 29% 3% - - - -
178 KAAKEH Taim 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
178 HSIEH Lucas 100% 67% 19% 2% - - -
180 WHITE Benjamin 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
181 KAAKEH Kareem 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.