2026 NCAA Midwest Regional

Men's Épée

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 12:20 PM

Cleveland State University - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
2 OSMAN TOUSON Maruan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 74% 50% 26% 8% 1%
3 IMREK Elijah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 91% 80% 63% 42% 24% 11% 4% 1% - - -
3 HAMILTON-MEIKLE Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 75% 53% 30% 12% 3% -
5 KULCSAR Viktor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 86% 68% 44% 22% 8% 2% -
6 BUELAU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 84% 68% 46% 25% 11% 3% 1% -
7 STANGE Jakob 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 91% 78% 59% 37% 18% 7% 2% - -
8 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 77% 58% 37% 20% 9% 3% 1% - - - - - -
9 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 84% 68% 48% 29% 14% 6% 2% - - - - - -
10 FIAMINGO Francisco 100% 99% 92% 74% 48% 25% 10% 3% 1% - - - - - - - - - -
11 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 99% 90% 69% 40% 17% 6% 1% - - - - - - - - - -
12 ELSAYED Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 73% 42% 12%
14 RANGEL Arturo 100% 100% 96% 84% 60% 33% 12% 3% - -
15 DINKINS Shuayb 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
16 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 84% 58% 29% 9% 2% -
17 CHENH Justin 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - - - -
18 HEIM Bryce 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% - - -
19 SENNEWALD James 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
20 RIECK Brennan 100% 53% 9% 1% -
21 PALLADINO Ben 100% 54% 8% - - -
22 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 89% 48% 6% -
23 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 71% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.