GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, March 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
2 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 BROOKS Zach B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
5 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 63%
6 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 14%
7 HUANG Max 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
8 LI Peizhen (Daniel) 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
9 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 28%
10 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4%
11 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
12 BOSS Evan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
13 DEPAUW Devan 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
14 LARSON Vaughn 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
15 SAYLOR Henry 100% 86% 49% 14% 1% -
16 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
17 SANFORD Wesley 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
18 LIU Quincy 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% -
19 WANG Kaiyan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
19 ASIALA Niilo 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
21 MILLER Lance W. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
22 JANYSKA Allen 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
23 YANG Julian 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
24 ALI Adam 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
25 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 4%
26 LIU-XUE Shuliang 100% 86% 46% 11% - -
27 MCNALLY Thomas J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
28 YATES Graeme 100% 82% 42% 10% 1% -
29 DRAWZ Chase 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
30 JERDEE Colton 100% 96% 74% 32% 3% -
31 LO Wilson D. 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
32 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
33 STREETER Oliver 100% 89% 55% 17% 2% -
34 BROUGHAM Brice 100% 92% 58% 17% 1% -
35 ESWARAPU Anmol 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 3%
36 VERWORN Jonathan 100% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.