GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
3 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 WANG Kaiyan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
5 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
6 LIU-XUE Shuliang 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
7 SANFORD Wesley 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1%
8 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 1%
9 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
10 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
11 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% -
12 HUANG Max 100% 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
13 SWENSON Diego 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
14 ZHANG James 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
15 ZHANG Michael 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
16 BROUGHAM Brice 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
17 BOSS Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
18 SAYLOR Henry 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
19 BUTTA Reese 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
20 VELDTMAN rafe 100% 95% 61% 22% 4% - -
21 LARSON Vaughn 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
22 STREETER Oliver 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
23 HONG Daniel 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
24 LIU Quincy 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
25 JERDEE Colton 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
26 YANG Julian 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
27 WYCHULIS Tristan 100% 95% 70% 29% 6% -
28 ROBINS Damien 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
29 ASIALA Niilo 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
30 YATES Graeme 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
31 WILTSE Alexander 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
32 MEISER Charlie 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.