Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
3 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 YOON Claire 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
5 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
6 ERISMAN Gabriella 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
7 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
8 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
9 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
10 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
11 CHO Anya 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
12 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
13 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 12%
14 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 19%
15 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
16 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
17 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
19 YANG Nina 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
20 LU Chloe 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
21 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
22 REN Ivanka 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
24 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
25 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 88% 35% 6% - -
26 FLESHER Mia 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
27 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 31% 6%
28 LICHTENFELD Naomi 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 3%
29 YANG Emma 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
30 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
31 KUSHNERENKO Maiia 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
32 LI Wan-Tao 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
33 LEONG Andrea 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
34 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 12%
35 LU Chu 100% 98% 79% 32% 6% -
36 PARKE Jaime 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
37 FLYNN Kensington 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
38 KOHLER Chrissy 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
39 WANG Olivia 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% -
40 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
41 LAMOREAUX Collette 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
42 VISHWA Nishta 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
43 ZU Jacqueline 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4%
44 THOMAS Mackenzie 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
45 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
47 LYNTON Olivia 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
48 RAPTIS Layla 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
48 ZHANG Carina 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
50 HAN Jimin Ellin 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
51 FITCH Anna 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
52 LI Celine 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
53 LEE Layla 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
54 LI Carlie 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
55 YU Jiaming 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
56 BEATINGO Chelli 100% 89% 52% 13% 1% -
57 CHANG Mikayla 100% 35% 4% - - -
58 WANG Phoebe 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
59 KLEIN Isabel 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
60 LI Elaine 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
61 PUTTAMRAJU Nithya 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.