Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, March 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin - - - - 4% 28% 67%
2 LAI Boden - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
3 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 XIA Dashan - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10%
5 CHEN Leonardo - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
6 SERAFIN Ben - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
7 LIOU Solomon - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
8 KOEPPEL Levi E. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
9 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
10 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
11 CAI Brian - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
12 NORMILE Nicholas - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
13 RIM Eugene - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
14 LEE DoWon 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
15 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - - 3% 17% 44% 35%
16 CHEN Tianjun 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
17 PETERS Nathan M. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
18 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% < 1%
19 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
20 SVERDLOV Seth - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
21 HU Robert J. - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
22 SUN Lucas 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
23 NG Nico 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
24 KOGAN Yelisey L. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
25 LI Jade 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
26 AYOTTE James 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
27 SUH Aiden 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
28 ZUCKER Noah L. - - - 6% 32% 62%
29 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
30 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
31 DURKIN Hudson 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
32 CHEN Jayden 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
33 HEARNE Gavin - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
34 KARIMOV Amir - 2% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
34 FAICCO Joseph - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
36 CHEN Edward 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
37 LIDSKY Phineas - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
38 TRAN Spencer - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
39 PAN Anthony 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
40 SINGLETON Aman - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
41 MOORE Shomari A. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
42 LIU Adam - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
43 LI Morgan 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 2% -
44 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
45 FONG Kobe 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
46 ANDERSON Riley 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
47 LAWLOR Lee 2% 13% 34% 37% 14% 1%
48 KE Sebastian 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
49 BAJAJ Nakul 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
50 GULLO Kenji Y. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
51 YANG Alex 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
52 LIN Nathan 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
53 ADAMS Zachary J. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
54 FUSSMAN Yuval 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
55 PETERSEN Zachary 6% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
56 FEINBERG James Y. 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
57 XIE Brandon 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
57 ANAFI Ari 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
59 YU Samuel 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
60 CHEN YiHeng 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
61 RVACHEV Michael 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
62 TIRRELL Justin J. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 3%
63 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
64 LIN Lucas 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
65 BRADSHAW Carter 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
66 SHELLY Emery 12% 36% 36% 13% 2% -
67 KUSACTAY Eric 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
68 O'HARROW Tristan C. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
69 HEISLER Maxfield 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
70 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
71 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
72 SWENSON Keane J. - 3% 16% 38% 36% 7%
73 PETINO Leonardo 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
74 PIASIO Jack E. - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
75 LEWIS Malcolm X. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
76 LOESER Jacob 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
77 KLINKENBERG Patrick 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
78 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - 1% 6% 25% 45% 22%
79 HE Yurui 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
80 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
81 LEE Henry 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
82 LEECH Braedan 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
83 OSHIMA Robert 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
84 LYCHKO Maksym 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
85 TATE William Isom 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
85 CHO Adrian 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
87 MCGOVERN Vincent J. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
88 YI Nathan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
89 ZHANG Jonathan 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
90 LIN Yufei 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
91 NUNEZ Jorge 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
92 RAPALSKI Thomas 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
93 REELS Eric J. 28% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
94 DATSON David 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
95 FLECK C.J. 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
96 HELMY Richard 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
97 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
98 MA Sean 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
99 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.