Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, March 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
3 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
3 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
5 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
7 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
8 KOEPPEL Levi E. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
9 CASERTANO Lorenzo O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
10 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
11 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
12 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
13 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
14 LEE DoWon 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
15 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
16 CHEN Tianjun 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
17 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
18 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% < 1%
19 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
20 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
21 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
22 SUN Lucas 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
23 NG Nico 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
24 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
25 LI Jade 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
26 AYOTTE James 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1%
27 SUH Aiden 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
28 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
29 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
30 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
31 DURKIN Hudson 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
32 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
33 HEARNE Gavin 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
34 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
34 FAICCO Joseph 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
36 CHEN Edward 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
37 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
38 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
39 PAN Anthony 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
40 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
41 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
42 LIU Adam 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
43 LI Morgan 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2% -
44 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
45 FONG Kobe 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
46 ANDERSON Riley 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
47 LAWLOR Lee 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
48 KE Sebastian 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
49 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
50 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
51 YANG Alex 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
52 LIN Nathan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
53 ADAMS Zachary J. 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
54 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
55 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
56 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
57 XIE Brandon 100% 99% 91% 64% 23% 3%
57 ANAFI Ari 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
59 YU Samuel 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
60 CHEN YiHeng 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
61 RVACHEV Michael 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
62 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
63 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
64 LIN Lucas 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
65 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
66 SHELLY Emery 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
67 KUSACTAY Eric 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
68 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
69 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
70 FIEDERLEIN Andrew M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
71 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
72 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
73 PETINO Leonardo 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
74 PIASIO Jack E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
75 LEWIS Malcolm X. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
76 LOESER Jacob 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
77 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
78 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
79 HE Yurui 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
80 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
81 LEE Henry 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
82 LEECH Braedan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
83 OSHIMA Robert 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
84 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
85 TATE William Isom 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
85 CHO Adrian 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
87 MCGOVERN Vincent J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
88 YI Nathan 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
89 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
90 LIN Yufei 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
91 NUNEZ Jorge 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
92 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
93 REELS Eric J. 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
94 DATSON David 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
95 FLECK C.J. 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
96 HELMY Richard 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
97 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
98 MA Sean 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
99 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.