American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORMILE Nicholas - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 1% 16% 83%
3 ADDYSON Aidan - 1% 10% 33% 41% 16%
3 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
5 CHEN Jayden - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
6 TRAN Spencer - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
7 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
8 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas - - 1% 13% 52% 34%
9 NG Nico - 1% 10% 39% 43% 7%
10 SINGLETON Aman - - 1% 9% 46% 45%
11 BOUDREAUX James - - - 3% 27% 70%
11 GOVOROV Alexander - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
13 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
14 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
15 AHMED Mohsen - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
16 LYCHKO Maksym - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
17 YI Nathan - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
18 LI Jade - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
19 SOLARZ Arthur - - 4% 20% 42% 29% 5%
19 MOZZER Nolan - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
21 CHANEY Charles - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
22 CHO Adrian - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
23 HENNESSY Levon - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
24 CUELLAR Markus - 1% 7% 27% 46% 19%
25 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
26 BHANDARE Veer 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
27 CHEN Edward - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
28 KABA Elias - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
29 ZHU Brady 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
30 MARTISEK Martin - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
31 WANG Marcus 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
32 CHEN Daniel 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
33 LEE Anton - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
34 LAJOIE Christophe - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
35 ZHANG Marcus Xuanwei - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
36 KIM Henry - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
37 ZHENG Jason - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
38 LI Ryan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
39 THOMAS Andrew - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
40 LUO Alexander - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
41 HE Bronto - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
43 HUANG Max 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
44 LEE DoWon - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
45 MILINKOVIC Maksim - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 8%
46 GAO Ryan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
47 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
48 LOPATIN Sergei 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
49 VYSOTSKIY Evan - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
50 CHAU Collin - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
51 SONG Aidan 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
52 MIDYANY Ryan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
53 ZHENG Jasper 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% -
54 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
55 MANSFIELD Hunter - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
57 CHEN Hayden 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
58 GU Eric 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
59 AGUIRRE Pablo 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
60 LIN Lucas 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
61 TSIEN Richard 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
62 BRESLAV Asher 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
63 BENNETT Nathaniel 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
64 STRAFFORD Andrew 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
65 HAN Keyi - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
66 YAKHNIS Seth 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
67 NOOL Alexander 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
68 ZHANG Jonathan - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
69 CAFASSO Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
70 LIN John 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
71 SONPAL Winslow 16% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
72 CHEN Isaac Zhi - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
73 WANG-SONG Evan - 2% 21% 47% 27% 3%
74 MANN Daniel 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
75 CHAN Tyler 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
76 YAZDANFAR Marius 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
77 CHAVES Evan 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
78 PENG Ethan 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
79 CHEN Aiden - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
80 FANG Charlie 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
81 LIU Andrew 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
82 TUNG Charlie 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
83 CARPENTER Touma S. 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% -
84 TARCHICHI Robby - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
85 TANG Colin 1% 11% 36% 42% 10% 1%
86 QI Bryan 7% 31% 43% 17% 2% -
87 LEE Harrison 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
88 LIU Easun 22% 44% 28% 6% - -
89 HONG Ethen 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
90 ROBINSON Garrett 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
91 DATSON David 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
92 LIU Pan Iok 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
93 MELUCCI Jonathan 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
94 ASHLEY Logan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
95 DANILOV Artur 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
95 SHAPIRO Samuel 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
97 WANG Zhenhao 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
98 KIM Daniel 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 1%
99 WELCH Sebastian 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
100 ZAGRAN Ivan 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
101 TANG Luke 1% 10% 31% 39% 18% 1%
102 AU Joshua 1% 15% 47% 31% 6% -
103 YAMAUCHI Corbin 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
104 MOSHIER Calvin 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
105 MONDESIR Aidan Dickson 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
106 LEE Ryan 14% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
107 ACHILOV Murod 22% 54% 21% 3% - -
108 JIN Noah 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
110 TOPRANI Valmik 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
111 LIU Darren 28% 46% 22% 4% - -
112 DUNCAN John 31% 45% 20% 4% - -
113 NOOL Aaron 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
114 BARTON Christian 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
115 MCCANDLISH Owen 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
116 ATKINS Elan 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
117 BEAULIEU Edmund 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
118 CHEN Jayden A 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
119 SCHLUBACH Jasper 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
120 WANG Ivan 25% 44% 25% 6% - -
121 KHERSONSKY Robert 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
122 EFFRON Silas 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
123 THOMAS Ethan 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
124 ROFINO Samuel 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
125 KO Ethan 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
126 HOLCOMB Liam 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
127 KIM Louie 24% 46% 24% 5% 1% -
128 PREVOST Landon 57% 38% 5% - - -
129 FOGEL Jake 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
130 MERHEJ Sean 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
130 WAGNER Bennett 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
132 JIANG Aidan 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
133 XIE Richard 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
134 HAN Nathan 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
135 WANG Aidan 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
136 DING Michael 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.