American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
3 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
5 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
6 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
7 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
8 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 34%
9 NG Nico 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 7%
10 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 45%
11 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
11 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
13 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
14 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
15 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
16 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
17 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
18 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
19 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 5%
19 MOZZER Nolan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
21 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
22 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
23 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
24 CUELLAR Markus 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 19%
25 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
26 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
27 CHEN Edward 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
28 KABA Elias 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
29 ZHU Brady 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
30 MARTISEK Martin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
31 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
32 CHEN Daniel 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
33 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
34 LAJOIE Christophe 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
35 ZHANG Marcus Xuanwei 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
36 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
37 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
38 LI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
39 THOMAS Andrew 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
40 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
41 HE Bronto 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
43 HUANG Max 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
44 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
45 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
46 GAO Ryan 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
47 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
48 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
49 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
50 CHAU Collin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
51 SONG Aidan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
52 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
53 ZHENG Jasper 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% -
54 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
55 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
57 CHEN Hayden 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
58 GU Eric 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
59 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
60 LIN Lucas 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
61 TSIEN Richard 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
62 BRESLAV Asher 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
63 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
64 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
65 HAN Keyi 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
66 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
67 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3%
68 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
69 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
70 LIN John 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
71 SONPAL Winslow 100% 84% 41% 9% 1% -
72 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
73 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 98% 77% 29% 3%
74 MANN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
75 CHAN Tyler 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
76 YAZDANFAR Marius 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
77 CHAVES Evan 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
78 PENG Ethan 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
79 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
80 FANG Charlie 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
81 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
82 TUNG Charlie 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
83 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
84 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 14%
85 TANG Colin 100% 99% 88% 52% 10% 1%
86 QI Bryan 100% 93% 62% 19% 2% -
87 LEE Harrison 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
88 LIU Easun 100% 78% 34% 6% - -
89 HONG Ethen 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
90 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
91 DATSON David 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
92 LIU Pan Iok 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
93 MELUCCI Jonathan 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
94 ASHLEY Logan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
95 DANILOV Artur 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
95 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
97 WANG Zhenhao 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
98 KIM Daniel 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 1%
99 WELCH Sebastian 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
100 ZAGRAN Ivan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
101 TANG Luke 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
102 AU Joshua 100% 99% 84% 37% 6% -
103 YAMAUCHI Corbin 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
104 MOSHIER Calvin 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
105 MONDESIR Aidan Dickson 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
106 LEE Ryan 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
107 ACHILOV Murod 100% 78% 24% 3% - -
108 JIN Noah 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
110 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
111 LIU Darren 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
112 DUNCAN John 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
113 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
114 BARTON Christian 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
115 MCCANDLISH Owen 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
116 ATKINS Elan 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
117 BEAULIEU Edmund 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
118 CHEN Jayden A 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
119 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
120 WANG Ivan 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
121 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
122 EFFRON Silas 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
123 THOMAS Ethan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
124 ROFINO Samuel 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
125 KO Ethan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
126 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
127 KIM Louie 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% -
128 PREVOST Landon 100% 43% 6% - - -
129 FOGEL Jake 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
130 MERHEJ Sean 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
130 WAGNER Bennett 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
132 JIANG Aidan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
133 XIE Richard 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
134 HAN Nathan 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
135 WANG Aidan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
136 DING Michael 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.