American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VILLER Alice - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
2 FURMAN Elizabeth - - - 2% 12% 41% 46%
3 HAN Emma - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 TANG Jacquelyn - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
5 CHEN Laila - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
6 YIN Elaine - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
7 LEE Zoe - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
7 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
9 KIM Charlotte - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
10 CHEN Madeline - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
11 LIU Brinley - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
12 LEE Nicole - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
13 YOUNG Penelope - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
14 SIU Mila - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
15 CHANEY Evelyn - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
16 HONG Catherine - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
17 KIM Abigail - - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
18 SELASSIE Semara - 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
19 ZHANG Yuchen A. - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
20 PATEL Aria - 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 4%
21 JI Susan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
22 LIOU Skylar - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
23 LI Kayla - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
23 KAMENSKY Emilia - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
25 MEGGERS Arya - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
26 LIANG Kristy 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
27 OLVECZKY Camilla - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
28 LEE Iona - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
29 XIE ANDREA - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
30 CHOI Elina - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
31 WANG Hailie - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
32 CHUNG Yenna - 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 4%
33 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
34 ZHANG Allison - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
35 CHOI Noah - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
36 CHEN Reina - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
37 VENKATESH Uma 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
38 CHEN Emily 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
39 FAYEZ Malika - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
40 STEWART Emily 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
41 GORDON Winter 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
42 LIU sienna 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
42 HE Joyce 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
44 SHEN Sophia - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
45 WARD Imani - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
46 ZHANG Aaliyah - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
47 VAZIRANI Jiya 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
47 PATEL Agena - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
49 JIN Serena 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
50 SUN Alisha - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
51 NEMAT Kamila 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
52 MARGAGLIONE Veronica 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
53 KAUR Harman 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
54 MERHEJ Liv 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
55 LIN Amber 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 3% -
56 MENG Yinuo 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
57 WANG Jenny 9% 42% 35% 12% 2% - -
58 WANG Katherine 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
59 MERHEJ Lea 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
60 SURENDAR Dhiya 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
61 BILIEN Yiwen 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
62 LEE Gloria 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
63 GURTIN Sasha 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
64 BIRZ Vivi 28% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
65 VILLER Gabriella 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5%
66 KUO Stella 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
67 LOUGH Abbie 28% 47% 20% 4% - - -
68 FEESER Alexia 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
69 ZHAO Ailsa 17% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
70 RYU Natalee - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
71 XIA Kaelynn 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
72 LIN Evelyn 14% 33% 32% 16% 5% 1% -
73 SOLGI Ava - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
74 ZHENG Lina 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
75 ZHAO Sophia 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
76 WU Caroline 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
77 LI Yisi 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
78 WATRELOT Seraphine 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
79 RODRIGUEZ Ivy 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
80 CHOI Serine 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
81 BONDE Trisha 16% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
81 SHANG Adeline 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
83 SALIBA Madison 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
84 ALVAREZ Megan 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
85 DARMAWAN Thea 5% 33% 40% 18% 4% - -
86 QIN Olivia 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
87 KIM Natalie 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
88 YANG Emily 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
89 LEE Zerah 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
90 CARACCIOLO Emma 56% 34% 8% 1% - - -
91 YULO Jamie 69% 27% 4% - - - -
92 BERENSHTEYN Gabriella 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
93 YU Qinying 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
94 NAGARAJ Arya 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
95 LATORRE Alexa 44% 42% 12% 2% - - -
96 TATINI Aria 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
97 CHO Angelina 64% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.