American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
5 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
6 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
7 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
7 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
9 KIM Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
10 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
11 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
12 LEE Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
13 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 8%
14 SIU Mila 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
15 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
16 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
17 KIM Abigail 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
18 SELASSIE Semara 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
19 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 20%
20 PATEL Aria 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
21 JI Susan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
22 LIOU Skylar 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
23 LI Kayla 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
23 KAMENSKY Emilia 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
25 MEGGERS Arya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
26 LIANG Kristy 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
27 OLVECZKY Camilla 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
28 LEE Iona 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
29 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
30 CHOI Elina 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
31 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
32 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
33 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
34 ZHANG Allison 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
35 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
36 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
37 VENKATESH Uma 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
38 CHEN Emily 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
39 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
40 STEWART Emily 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
41 GORDON Winter 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
42 LIU sienna 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
42 HE Joyce 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
44 SHEN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
45 WARD Imani 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
46 ZHANG Aaliyah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
47 VAZIRANI Jiya 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
47 PATEL Agena 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
49 JIN Serena 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
50 SUN Alisha 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
51 NEMAT Kamila 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
52 MARGAGLIONE Veronica 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
53 KAUR Harman 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
54 MERHEJ Liv 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
55 LIN Amber 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
56 MENG Yinuo 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
57 WANG Jenny 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
58 WANG Katherine 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
59 MERHEJ Lea 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
60 SURENDAR Dhiya 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
61 BILIEN Yiwen 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
62 LEE Gloria 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
63 GURTIN Sasha 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
64 BIRZ Vivi 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% -
65 VILLER Gabriella 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
66 KUO Stella 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
67 LOUGH Abbie 100% 72% 24% 4% - - -
68 FEESER Alexia 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
69 ZHAO Ailsa 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% -
70 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
71 XIA Kaelynn 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
72 LIN Evelyn 100% 86% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
73 SOLGI Ava 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
74 ZHENG Lina 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
75 ZHAO Sophia 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
76 WU Caroline 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
77 LI Yisi 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
78 WATRELOT Seraphine 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
79 RODRIGUEZ Ivy 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 4% -
80 CHOI Serine 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
81 BONDE Trisha 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
81 SHANG Adeline 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
83 SALIBA Madison 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% 1%
84 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
85 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
86 QIN Olivia 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
87 KIM Natalie 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
88 YANG Emily 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
89 LEE Zerah 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
90 CARACCIOLO Emma 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
91 YULO Jamie 100% 31% 4% - - - -
92 BERENSHTEYN Gabriella 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
93 YU Qinying 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
94 NAGARAJ Arya 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
95 LATORRE Alexa 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
96 TATINI Aria 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
97 CHO Angelina 100% 36% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.