4th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 23, 2020 at 1:00 PM

Chatsworth, CA - Chatsworth, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NOEL Sebastien A. - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 KIM Nathan - 1% 9% 33% 44% 14%
3 REIERSON Risor - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
3 HUNT Aidan - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
5 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 1% 13% 34% 37% 14%
6 FERRIERE Joshua - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
7 LO Jake - 6% 26% 43% 22% 3%
8 GAO Chaney C. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
9 BAZHENOV Anthony - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
10 LEE Jaden T. - 2% 14% 39% 39% 6%
11 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
12 KIM Sullivan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
13 WANG William 2% 19% 41% 30% 7% -
14 MENDOZA Zander - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
15 CHEN Zhengyang - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6%
16 DONAHUE Lake 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
17 PAK Elliot 2% 16% 37% 34% 11% 1%
18 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
19 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 5% 29% 42% 20% 3% -
20 LIU Yikun 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
21 MUIR Luke 29% 47% 20% 4% - -
22 ZHENG Haoran 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% -
23 MAXU Tiger 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
24 YIP Matthew 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
25 FANG SHUOMING 63% 31% 5% - - -
26 CHUNG Michael 7% 36% 40% 15% 2% -
26 HANG TSZ HIN 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
28 COPEN Elliot P. 2% 19% 40% 31% 8% -
29 MIAO KUNQI 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
30 NG Biwon 33% 46% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.