Gold Finch ROC (D1, D2 and Vet) and Non-Regional Junior and Cadet

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VANNI Filippo A. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
2 JANG Jaewon - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13%
3 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
3 PYO Michael M. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
5 ANDREWS Nathan J. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
6 FU Samuel Y. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
7 SCHULTES Evans - 3% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
8 BUERGIN Aidan 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
9 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
10 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - 4% 20% 46% 30%
11 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
12 PETERS Nathan M. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
13 KOECK Tomas E. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
14 ZHOU TIMMY - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
15 KAO Castor T. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
16 GEE Brandon - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
17 PETER Griffin - - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
18 HERGERT Benito - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
19 BAE Kevin - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
20 REGE Advaith - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
20 DING Jonathan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
22 MILLER Trent D. - 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
23 CRALEY Thomas M. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
24 CHAN Tyler - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
25 OUELLETTE David M. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
26 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
27 LEE Daniel C. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
28 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2%
29 DU Samuel R. - 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
30 ZELJKOVIC Dusan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
31 HU Robin 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
32 KEE Andrew L. 3% 18% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
33 KWON Ethan - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
34 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
35 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
36 DESOLA Aidan J. 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
37 SHA Yi Peng 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
37 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
39 SANTULLI Tristan 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
39 JAUME Andrei - 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
41 MONGRELLA III John A. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
41 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
43 GUPTA Varun 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
44 BING Charles - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
45 STRAYER Andrew 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
46 DAUM Charlie 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
47 CAI Oliver K. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
48 TIAN Aaron C. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
49 YEROKHIN Michael N. - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
50 REZNICK Nicholas J. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
51 ZHANG Bill 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
52 AHN Jun 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
52 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
52 TORRES Treston 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
55 WANG Michael - 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
56 PAULSON Connor M. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
57 JUDD Mehta J. 5% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
58 MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. 12% 45% 32% 9% 1% - -
59 MENG Zhaoyi 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
60 GISLER Benjamin B. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
61 DEEB Adam 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
62 DESANDO Michael R. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 10% 1%
63 ORTIZ Zachary M. - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
64 TAHOUN Mostafa 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
65 LE Vyn A. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
66 HILMER Michael 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
67 ARANA Massimo 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
68 XU Mathu Yang 68% 30% 2% - - - -
69 WOLF Vanya 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.