Gold Finch ROC (D1, D2 and Vet) and Non-Regional Junior and Cadet

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
2 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
3 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
3 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
5 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
6 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
7 SCHULTES Evans 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
8 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
9 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
10 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
11 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15%
12 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
13 KOECK Tomas E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 9%
14 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 7%
15 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
16 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
17 PETER Griffin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
18 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
19 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
20 REGE Advaith 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
20 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
22 MILLER Trent D. 100% 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
23 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
24 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
25 OUELLETTE David M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
26 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
27 LEE Daniel C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
28 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 2%
29 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
30 ZELJKOVIC Dusan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
31 HU Robin 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
32 KEE Andrew L. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
33 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
34 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
35 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
36 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
37 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
37 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
39 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
39 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
41 MONGRELLA III John A. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
41 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 77% 38% 12% 2% - -
43 GUPTA Varun 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
44 BING Charles 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
45 STRAYER Andrew 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
46 DAUM Charlie 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
47 CAI Oliver K. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
48 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
49 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
50 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
51 ZHANG Bill 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
52 AHN Jun 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
52 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
52 TORRES Treston 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
55 WANG Michael 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
56 PAULSON Connor M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
57 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 95% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
58 MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. 100% 88% 43% 11% 1% - -
59 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
60 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
61 DEEB Adam 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
62 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
63 ORTIZ Zachary M. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
64 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
65 LE Vyn A. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
66 HILMER Michael 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
67 ARANA Massimo 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
68 XU Mathu Yang 100% 32% 2% - - - -
69 WOLF Vanya 100% 66% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.