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The Battle in Seattle ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 12:30 PM

Bellevue, WA - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEONG Connor - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
2 IYOKI Kent - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
3 LARSEN Samuel F. - - - 1% 9% 40% 51%
3 DUCHOW Benjamin W. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
5 BODON Michele I. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
6 FULLER George K. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
7 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
8 ROY Joseph T. - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
9 MCGAW Julian E. - - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
10 LEI Joshua - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
11 SLATER Jay N. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
12 SUVOROV Yuly - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
13 VARNEY John R. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
14 WESTMAAS Jonathan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
15 BLISS Atticus H. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
16 JENSEN David - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
17 DUCHOW Matthew D. - 5% 23% 42% 26% 3%
18 LEI Jacob - - - 8% 30% 42% 20%
19 PERKA Michael - 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
19 LIPTON Jason S. - - 7% 33% 42% 16% 2%
21 CRANOR Erich L. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
22 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
23 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
24 JOHNSON Lucas W. - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
25 CRASWELL Andrew J. 1% 8% 30% 39% 20% 2%
26 WALLACE Patric - - 1% 12% 35% 38% 13%
27 SEGAL Mark N. - - 2% 21% 41% 29% 7%
28 LOEFFLER Carl E. - 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 5%
29 PALACIOS Justin M. 1% 15% 33% 32% 15% 4% -
30 LAWLER Aidan 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
31 LI Brian X - 3% 20% 39% 30% 7%
32 WEISE Eli S. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
33 HUNTER Justin - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
34 LU Chung - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
35 MUNOZ Charles O. - 4% 33% 41% 19% 3% -
36 KOLLAR Attila - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
37 KILUK Andrew 4% 28% 42% 21% 4% -
38 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
39 BRUCE II Ommer E. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
40 CLAUSEN Matthew J. 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
41 BLOCK B.J. - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
42 HAN Andersen Y. - 1% 7% 28% 42% 20% 2%
43 SAGOR Floyd 7% 37% 41% 13% 2% - -
44 DEO Ameya 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 2% -
45 LUEDECKE Myles A. - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
46 ZAYDMAN David M. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
47 JOHNSON Jeff - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
48 BECK Brian C. 6% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
49 LLOYD Alex 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1%
50 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
51 EVANS Allen L. 7% 33% 38% 18% 3% -
52 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
53 CHOI Isaac 1% 14% 33% 32% 15% 4% -
54 LEE Alexander G. - - 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
55 LEE PETER H. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
56 FLY Paul 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
57 GULLO Kenji Y. 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
58 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% -
59 BERTONE Charles A. 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
60 MCLOUDREY Callan E. 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
61 RINGLE Stephen E. 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
62 MATTIE Jacob 7% 47% 38% 7% - - -
63 KLEIN Johannes 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
64 LEE Wilson 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
65 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
66 NEALE James H. - 3% 17% 41% 33% 7%
67 REIN Nick 70% 26% 4% - - - -
68 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 4% 26% 43% 23% 4% - -
69 WILLIAMS Derek 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
70 D'AMBROSIO Dominick 76% 22% 2% - - - -
71 GRIDLEY Dustin 64% 32% 4% - - - -
72 HUI Jonathan 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
73 LIPTON Michael D. 1% 16% 59% 21% 3% - -
74 CROPLEY Theodore 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
75 PENG Gregory 21% 63% 15% 1% - - -
76 STOCK Jordan 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
77 MCLAUGHLIN Brian P. 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
78 STELLWAGEN Kurt 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
79 FREDRICKSON Eli 44% 43% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.