The Battle in Seattle ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 12:30 PM

Bellevue, WA - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
2 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
3 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
3 DUCHOW Benjamin W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
5 BODON Michele I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
6 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
7 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
8 ROY Joseph T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
9 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
11 SLATER Jay N. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
12 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
13 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
14 WESTMAAS Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
15 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
16 JENSEN David 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
17 DUCHOW Matthew D. 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
18 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
19 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
19 LIPTON Jason S. 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 18% 2%
21 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
22 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
23 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
24 JOHNSON Lucas W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
25 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 2%
26 WALLACE Patric 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
27 SEGAL Mark N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
28 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
29 PALACIOS Justin M. 100% 99% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
30 LAWLER Aidan 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
31 LI Brian X 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
32 WEISE Eli S. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
33 HUNTER Justin 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
34 LU Chung 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
35 MUNOZ Charles O. 100% 100% 96% 63% 22% 4% -
36 KOLLAR Attila 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
37 KILUK Andrew 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% -
38 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
39 BRUCE II Ommer E. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
40 CLAUSEN Matthew J. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
41 BLOCK B.J. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
42 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
43 SAGOR Floyd 100% 93% 55% 15% 2% - -
44 DEO Ameya 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 2% -
45 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
46 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
47 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
48 BECK Brian C. 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
49 LLOYD Alex 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
50 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
51 EVANS Allen L. 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
52 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
53 CHOI Isaac 100% 99% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
54 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 3%
55 LEE PETER H. 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
56 FLY Paul 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
57 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1%
58 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% -
59 BERTONE Charles A. 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
60 MCLOUDREY Callan E. 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%
61 RINGLE Stephen E. 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
62 MATTIE Jacob 100% 93% 46% 8% - - -
63 KLEIN Johannes 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
64 LEE Wilson 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
65 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
66 NEALE James H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
67 REIN Nick 100% 30% 4% - - - -
68 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 96% 70% 27% 5% - -
69 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
70 D'AMBROSIO Dominick 100% 24% 2% - - - -
71 GRIDLEY Dustin 100% 36% 4% - - - -
72 HUI Jonathan 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
73 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 99% 83% 24% 3% - -
74 CROPLEY Theodore 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
75 PENG Gregory 100% 79% 16% 1% - - -
76 STOCK Jordan 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
77 MCLAUGHLIN Brian P. 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
78 STELLWAGEN Kurt 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
79 FREDRICKSON Eli 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.