Battle of the Bay DIV1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 1, 2020 at 1:00 PM

San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 ARIETA Ryan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
3 KULIGOWSKI Bartosz 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
5 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
6 MIELE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
7 JOHNSON Lucas W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
8 LEI Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
9 KIM PAUL 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
10 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
11 ALLGEIER Peter 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
11 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
13 SHIREY Daniel L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
14 WONG Nicholas A. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
15 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
16 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 6%
17 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
18 NG Alexander M. 100% 98% 86% 60% 29% 8% 1%
19 MENEGOLI Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
20 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
21 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
22 MATTIS George 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
23 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
24 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
25 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
26 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
27 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4%
28 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
29 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
30 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
31 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
32 WISOFF Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
33 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
34 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
35 LOUIE Jason 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
36 SIVAGAR Leo 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
37 NGUYEN Steven 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
38 BRUCE II Ommer E. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
39 ROOD Alex 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
40 VELUVALI Vivek S. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
41 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
42 DYER Carson C. 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
43 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
44 WEAVER Neil 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
45 SLOAN Ryan 100% 94% 73% 41% 15% 3% -
46 BECK Brian C. 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
47 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
48 JOSEPH William 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
49 CHON Joshua 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1%
50 RAJPAL Sartaj S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
51 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 100% 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% -
52 AU Marcus J. 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
53 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
54 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
54 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 99% 94% 78% 48% 19% 3%
56 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
57 KUO Elvin 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% -
58 SMITH Zane A. 100% 95% 73% 38% 13% 2% -
59 MILEY Nick N. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
60 PARK Elliot 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
61 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 96% 64% 25% 6% 1% -
62 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
63 BARAFF David 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
64 GNERRE Sante 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
65 TORVINEN Trevor J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
66 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
67 ZHUANG William 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
68 RYAN Christopher 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
69 MA Victor 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
70 WILLIS Alan T. 100% 98% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
71 ZHANG Alec 100% 98% 86% 60% 29% 8% 1%
72 LEONARDINI Barry M. 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
73 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
73 ATHAVALE Pranav 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
75 DYER CJ 100% 100% 97% 72% 30% 5% -
76 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
77 QUIROGA Kyle 100% 34% 5% - - -
78 RYAN Seth C. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
79 WONG Nathan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 7% 1%
80 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
81 BEITTEL David F. 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
82 BURLING Trenor 100% 32% 3% - - - -
83 PATERSON Owen 100% 19% 1% - - - -
84 ZHANG Andrew 100% 82% 21% 2% - - -
85 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
86 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
87 HASAN Raamis 100% 21% 2% - - - -
88 GUPTA Karan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
89 WANG Andrew 100% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.