Hangover Open @ DFC

Senior Mixed Épée

Wednesday, January 1, 2020 at 11:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GARLINGTON David 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
2 REES Daniel I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
3 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 10%
3 WALSH Kevin 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
5 BLYTH Jourdain L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 32%
6 MCGINNIS Aidan K. 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
7 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
8 CELECKI Barrett 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
9 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
10 SUBRAMANIAN Arjuna 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
11 POCHON Adam V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
12 CAMPBELL Grant M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
13 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 56% 12%
14 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
15 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
16 CHAN Andrew M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
17 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6%
18 MILLETT Seamus T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
19 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 55% 10%
20 ALLGEIER Peter 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
22 CHERIS Zachariah A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
23 ANDERSON Brendan 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
23 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% 2%
25 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
26 KAJI Ty 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
27 SOLTER Kai 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% 1%
28 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
29 TOTEMEIER Ann M. 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
30 ERKENBECK Nathan M. 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
31 COLE Matthew 100% 96% 70% 17% 1% -
32 ANDERSON Henry 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
33 BUVARP Elisabeth M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
34 EBELL Ivan D. 100% 94% 63% 20% 2% -
35 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
36 NIEMANN Avery 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
37 BARON Sabina 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
38 HENDRICK Heidi M. 100% 98% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
39 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 93% 52% 13% 1% -
40 TIBBETTS Johnathan 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
41 HARBIN Layla 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 2%
42 SAUTHOFF Chris 100% 92% 40% 7% - -
43 SAINT-PHARD Shana 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
44 BURCH Tristan H. 100% 86% 44% 10% 1% -
45 GROGAN Hunter K. 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
46 ANDERSON Alan J. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
47 DAVIS Greg 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
48 NIETZER Jo A. 100% 37% 6% - - - -
49 MOORE Hunter 100% 89% 25% 3% - - -
50 DAVIS Emma 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
51 SCHELL Julia 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
52 BRETT Joseph 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
53 BRETT Mary 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
55 LUTTON Patricia 100% 37% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.