Boston Fencing Club ROC - Reg Opens 3/20

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
2 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
3 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
3 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
5 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
6 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
7 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
8 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
9 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 7%
10 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
11 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
12 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
13 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
14 CRONIN Darragh J. 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4%
15 ZHAO corey 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
16 ZHANG William 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
17 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 99% 90% 53% 15% 2%
18 HERMANSON David B. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
19 SPRINGER Michael 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
20 WU Jonathan 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
21 FERREIRA Noah J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
22 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
23 CAFASSO Martin 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
24 CROSS Kieran 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
25 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
25 MACNEILL Owen 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
27 LAI Aiden 100% 77% 24% 3% - -
28 FENWICK Luke A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
29 GERSEN Jacob 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
30 KARAMANIAN Nicholas 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
31 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 48% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.