The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

THE ORLANDO CHALLENGE SYC & RCC Reg Opens 4/8

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, May 28, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Orlando, FL - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
2 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
3 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 25%
3 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
5 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
5 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
7 KNOEPFFLER Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
8 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
9 LIN Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
10 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
11 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
12 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
13 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
14 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
15 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
16 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
17 SAGE Michael P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
18 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
19 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
20 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
21 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
22 CANO Marcos E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
23 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 4%
24 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13% 1%
25 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
26 ORTEGA Jose-Arnel 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
27 HEARN Christen J. 100% 99% 94% 69% 29% 4%
28 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
29 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
30 ZHANG Jiening G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
31 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 98% 83% 41% 10% 1%
32 TSAO Lukas 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
33 LEE Lukas 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
34 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 3% -
35 FUKUDA Diego 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
36 NGUYEN martin 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
37 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
38 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 79% 32% 7% 1% - -
39 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 92% 57% 17% 2% -
40 WANG Brayden 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
41 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
42 CHENG Ethan 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
43 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
43 SHEN Owen 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
45 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% - -
46 MORROW Brenden 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
47 BEAVER Aaron 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
48 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
49 IVANENKO Alex 100% 83% 33% 6% - -
50 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
51 HOGGARD Carson 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
52 ZOU Yuming 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
53 HOM Logan 100% 74% 20% 2% - - -
54 DANIZ T FERNANDO A. 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
55 BURKETT Jackson Cash 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
56 FORSYTH Patrick 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
57 CHEN Junxuan 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
57 CAO Vincent 100% 49% 7% - - - -
59 GRIJALBA Gabriel 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.