BladeRunner ROC+RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, November 7, 2021 at 8:00 AM

RIMAC Arena @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
2 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
3 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
5 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
6 JEON Nathan S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
7 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
8 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
9 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
10 SOTO Ulises G 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
11 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
12 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
13 XIAO Edward 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
14 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
15 DIVITO Dylan 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
16 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
17 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
18 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
19 SHIH William 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
20 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
21 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
22 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
23 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
24 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
25 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
26 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
27 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
28 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 5%
29 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
30 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 94% 52% 16% 2% - -
31 LO Hung Yui 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
32 VARGAS Bryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
33 YU Anders 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
34 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
35 BANERJEE Anup 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
36 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
37 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
38 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
39 CHENG Nathan 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4% -
40 LUH Ethan K. 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
41 GOBBO Alexander 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
42 WOO Christian 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
43 HEER Damanjit S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
44 OH Jaden 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% - -
45 WU Jerry Z. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
46 TAN Christien 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
47 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
48 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
48 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
50 WU Lucas 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
51 LE Jacob W. 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
52 LI Avery Peihong 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
53 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
54 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
55 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
56 JORDON Kaleb W. 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
57 CHI Alexander 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
58 ZHENG Zhe 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
59 SHEBEST Shane 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
60 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
61 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
62 NGUYEN William 100% 24% 2% - - - -
63 BROWN Darius D. 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
64 BAEK David 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
65 GUO Hairuo 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
66 MO Jason 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
67 HARRIS Rhonen 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
68 KIESS Christopher 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.