The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

BladeRunner ROC+RJC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, November 7, 2021 at 8:00 AM

RIMAC Arena @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
3 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
3 LEE Natasha 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
5 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
7 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
8 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
9 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
10 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
11 WANG Nora 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
12 BARBARA Camille 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 2%
13 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
14 MOHABIR Ariane 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
15 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
16 MUN Brianna K. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 3% -
17 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 ASSADOURIAN Nouneh 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
19 SIVAGAR Fiona 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 18% 1%
20 YAO Yilin 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
21 ANDERSON Claire 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
22 LIN Ashley 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
23 KALE Anika A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
24 DU Shunyi(Wendy) 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
25 FELAND Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
26 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 4%
27 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
28 BUSH Emma 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
29 CHA Eugenie 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
30 NEISINGH Isabelle 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
31 HEPLER Sarah 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
32 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
33 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
34 SAYSON Samantha 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
35 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
36 KAUSHISH Sara 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
37 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
38 WILEY Erica 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
39 MUNOZ Andrea H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 32% 4%
40 CAREY Michele S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
41 EGENOLF Gabriella 100% 92% 55% 14% 1% - -
42 LORES Alicia 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
43 MARSH Janet L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
44 KWON Tiara 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
45 SOIN Anika A. 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
46 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
47 CHIMIENTI Michele 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
48 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
48 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
50 WANG Angelina 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
51 HUANG Lanlan 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
52 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
53 LEE Olivia 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
54 DALEY Keira 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
55 LENDIS Gabrielle 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
56 TAN Jocelyn 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
57 MITRANI Gabriela 100% 84% 40% 7% - - -
58 XU Katelyn 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
59 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
60 NASON Amelia 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
61 LEE youngin 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
62 HAU Olivia 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
63 LOUIE Sarah 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
64 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
65 FRANEK Lisa 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
66 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.