The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
2 CANLAS Nathan - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
3 CO Dylan - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
5 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
6 MA Bryant 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
7 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
8 ZHANG Aaron - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
9 LIU Michael H. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
10 LEE Jonah - - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
11 QIAN Jason H. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
12 KIM Ryan Y. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
13 KIAYIAS Aris - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
14 LI Matthew - - 2% 15% 40% 35% 7%
15 MORROW Brenden - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
16 LEE Brendan - 5% 31% 41% 19% 3%
17 MA Andrew - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
18 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
19 WANG Ethan - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
20 LLIDO Soren - - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
21 LI Jett - - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
22 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
23 WU Lucas - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
24 KIM Andrew J. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
25 LO Preston - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
26 CHEN Justin K. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
27 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 12% 36% 38% 13%
28 YAO Bradley - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
29 KIM Aiden - 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
30 LORENZO Alejandro - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 3%
31 SENIC Lucas - - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
32 DESHMUKH Arjun - 5% 23% 40% 27% 6%
33 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
34 GUERRA Gabriel H. - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
35 SHEN Owen - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
36 RASMUSSEN Sage - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
37 LIU Ethan - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 17%
38 SHENG Dalton - 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
39 LING Eddie - - 2% 18% 43% 31% 5%
40 NICOLETTI Luca - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
41 PARK Sky 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
42 WU Alber Y. - 1% 10% 32% 38% 18% 2%
43 KIM Brian - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
44 CHENG Ethan - 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
45 ZHENG zhe - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
46 TSAO Lukas - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
47 MAO Lucas - - 3% 22% 41% 27% 5%
48 XU Andy P. - 1% 16% 39% 34% 10%
49 TANG Alexander L. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 8%
50 DINSAY Kristjan - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
51 NGUYEN martin - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
52 DERRICK Blake - 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
53 ANDRIC Borna 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
54 LEVY Jacob - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
54 OROPEZA David - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
56 TONKOVICH Ryan 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
57 TANG Albert - 1% 9% 34% 38% 16% 2%
58 TANG Terry 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
59 CHUANG Oscar 7% 28% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
60 KETTELLE John 6% 38% 37% 15% 3% - -
61 BARRETT Austin - 9% 37% 37% 15% 2% -
62 GUTH Joseph - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
63 RUSSELL Paul - 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
64 FANG Jaden 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
65 ZHOU Ryan 19% 47% 27% 6% 1% - -
66 ZENG Rick - 2% 18% 44% 29% 7% -
67 HAN Derek - 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
68 PALMA Nathan Anthony 1% 22% 40% 28% 9% 1%
69 LE Jacob 19% 59% 19% 2% - -
70 CHOI Benjamin 2% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
71 YI William 1% 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
72 PARK Ryan 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
73 RAJ Jay - 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
74 SAH Steven 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
74 LING Carson Jr 1% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
76 PARK Roy 23% 59% 17% 1% - - -
77 PETROV Mikhail 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
78 TSAY Jordan R. 26% 47% 23% 5% - -
79 CHEN Kelton 1% 10% 45% 34% 9% 1% -
80 YANG Charles 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
81 CHOI Ethan 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
82 KUANG Aaron 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
82 PORTER Rory 67% 29% 4% - - - -
84 PARK Rion 18% 40% 30% 11% 2% - -
85 ZHANG Graham 10% 54% 30% 6% - - -
86 DENG David 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
87 CHUN Dashel 7% 33% 43% 14% 2% - -
88 WONG Jacob W. 1% 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% -
89 KIM Jonah 69% 27% 4% - - - -
90 YUE Jackson 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
90 PARK David 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
92 BANUELOS Dario 61% 35% 4% - - - -
93 LI Richard 5% 35% 39% 17% 3% - -
94 JIANG Yehong 65% 32% 3% - - -
95 CHEN Leetyan 19% 48% 28% 4% - - -
96 HOM Logan 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
97 AGRAWAL Niki 33% 46% 18% 3% - -
97 TAN Youkai (Isaac) 89% 11% - - - -
99 ALKADI Zain 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
100 HUMPHREY Cameron 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
101 CHANDRA Josh T. 90% 9% - - - - -
102 LIANG Ethan 77% 21% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.