The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
2 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 CO Dylan 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 12%
5 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
6 MA Bryant 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
7 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
8 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
9 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
10 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
11 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
12 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
13 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 16% 2%
14 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
15 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
16 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 95% 64% 22% 3%
17 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
18 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
19 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
20 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 100% 92% 65% 25% 3%
21 LI Jett 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
22 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
23 WU Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
24 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
25 LO Preston 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
26 CHEN Justin K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
27 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
28 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
29 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 5%
30 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
31 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
32 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
33 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 15%
34 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
35 SHEN Owen 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
36 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
37 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
38 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
39 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 36% 5%
40 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
41 PARK Sky 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
42 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
43 KIM Brian 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
44 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
45 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
46 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
47 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
48 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 10%
49 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
50 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
51 NGUYEN martin 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
52 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
53 ANDRIC Borna 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
54 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
54 OROPEZA David 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
56 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
57 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
58 TANG Terry 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
59 CHUANG Oscar 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
60 KETTELLE John 100% 94% 55% 18% 3% - -
61 BARRETT Austin 100% 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
62 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
63 RUSSELL Paul 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
64 FANG Jaden 100% 99% 90% 63% 30% 8% 1%
65 ZHOU Ryan 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
66 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 98% 80% 36% 7% -
67 HAN Derek 100% 100% 90% 59% 22% 3%
68 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 77% 37% 10% 1%
69 LE Jacob 100% 81% 22% 2% - -
70 CHOI Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
71 YI William 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
72 PARK Ryan 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
73 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
74 SAH Steven 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
74 LING Carson Jr 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
76 PARK Roy 100% 77% 18% 1% - - -
77 PETROV Mikhail 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
78 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
79 CHEN Kelton 100% 99% 89% 44% 10% 1% -
80 YANG Charles 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
81 CHOI Ethan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
82 KUANG Aaron 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% - -
82 PORTER Rory 100% 33% 5% - - - -
84 PARK Rion 100% 82% 42% 13% 2% - -
85 ZHANG Graham 100% 90% 36% 6% 1% - -
86 DENG David 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
87 CHUN Dashel 100% 93% 59% 16% 2% - -
88 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 80% 43% 14% 2% -
89 KIM Jonah 100% 31% 4% - - - -
90 YUE Jackson 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
90 PARK David 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
92 BANUELOS Dario 100% 39% 4% - - - -
93 LI Richard 100% 95% 60% 20% 4% - -
94 JIANG Yehong 100% 35% 3% - - -
95 CHEN Leetyan 100% 81% 32% 4% - - -
96 HOM Logan 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
97 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
97 TAN Youkai (Isaac) 100% 11% - - - -
99 ALKADI Zain 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
100 HUMPHREY Cameron 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
101 CHANDRA Josh T. 100% 10% - - - - -
102 LIANG Ethan 100% 23% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.