May NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 6% 32% 62%
2 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
3 XIAO Ethan J. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
3 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
5 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - - 4% 29% 67%
6 REID Clayton J. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 28%
7 PARK Luke J. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
8 LO Conrad - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
9 OTAKE Jared K. 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% < 1%
10 KASI Sanjay - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
11 LIU Justin - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
12 GRIFFITH JACK - 2% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
13 HO Ryan J. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
14 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
15 LIU Niles J. - 1% 6% 27% 45% 22%
16 LI Brandon H. - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
17 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
18 JEON Caleb A. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
19 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
20 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
21 GRIFFIN John O. - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 18%
22 LA ROSA Federico - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
23 KIM Nicholas W. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
24 JOHNSON Aidan J. - - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
25 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 1% 7% 29% 40% 20% 3%
26 LOUIE Bryce - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
27 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
28 KELLY William J. - 2% 18% 44% 32% 4%
29 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
30 YU Vinni - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
31 KIM Brandon J. - 1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 1%
32 GRANT Lachlan K. - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
33 XIAO Enoch A. - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
34 ZENG Lucas H. - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
35 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
35 UM Ethan A. - 2% 14% 38% 36% 11%
37 REALS Alden D. - - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
38 JANG Jaewon - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
39 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
40 KO Brian J. - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 9%
41 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
42 MITCHELL Philip D. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
43 DAI Jonathan T. 9% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
44 YANG Adam - - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4%
45 DICKSON Farr R. - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 11%
46 HOOSHI Dylan M. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
47 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 9%
47 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
49 YU Eric W. - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
50 STANLEY Mason B. 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
51 DESHMUKH Ayush 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% -
52 ZHANG Andy W. 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
53 RITCHIE Luke W. - 2% 18% 43% 32% 5%
54 LEVY Jacob M. - - 5% 26% 42% 24% 3%
55 TSANG Matthew K. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
56 CHEN James P. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
57 LIN Dashiell 1% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
58 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 17% 42% 30% 8% 1%
59 HORSLEY Alexander 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
60 GASSNER Ethan I. - - < 1% 3% 16% 42% 40%
61 BURKE Spencer W. - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
62 HUTH Jacob - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
63 EVGENEV Mark 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
64 SINGH Dayaal 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2%
65 BRATTON Jack S. - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 4%
66 FOGELSON Frederick J. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
67 THAI William 1% 13% 43% 34% 8% -
68 GIRALDO Pablo E. 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
69 DORITY Philip S. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
70 FUKUDA Alessio R. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
71 BAE Kevin 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
72 CHAN Tyler - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
73 YEROKHIN Michael N. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
74 CHENG Matthew S. 5% 32% 43% 17% 3% - -
75 CULLIVAN Justice 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
76 BING Charles 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
77 CHIN Jason Y. - - 5% 24% 40% 26% 5%
78 LEE Lukas 47% 43% 9% 1% - - -
79 OURSLER Jack - 3% 16% 38% 35% 9%
80 WANG Gerald Y. 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
81 CHEN Andrew 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
81 DEGREMONT Henri S. 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
83 HSIUNG Richie 9% 33% 38% 16% 3% - -
84 HAN Andersen Y. 1% 12% 44% 33% 10% 1% -
85 HODESS Ethan 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
86 SONG Dylan S. 8% 38% 40% 13% 2% - -
87 LEE Jacob J 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
88 NAGER Noah 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
89 LI Avery Peihong 9% 65% 22% 3% - - -
90 BELLUOMO David C. 11% 41% 35% 11% 2% - -
91 KIM Aaron J. 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
92 HU Oliver W. 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
93 KIM Yonjae 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1%
94 JIMENEZ Diran 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
95 RINEHART Conner M. 8% 44% 36% 10% 1% -
96 TAN Christien 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
97 REZNICK Nicholas J. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
98 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 71% 26% 3% - - -
99 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 65% 31% 4% - - -
100 KAO Castor T. 1% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
101 NEWELL Ian A. 15% 52% 28% 5% - -
102 FU Samuel Y. - 6% 37% 39% 16% 3% -
103 LISONDRA Niko 54% 36% 8% 1% - - -
104 AVRON Case B. 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
105 OH Jonathan 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
105 KIM BANSEOK J. 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
105 WHITEHEAD Amir 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
108 EMENHEISER Conrad 59% 34% 6% - - - -
109 HUANG Kevin D. 69% 28% 3% - - -
110 SEAL Maximus R. 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
111 CHENG Nathan 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
112 GAO William 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
113 VALOUEV Aleksey 63% 31% 5% - - -
114 LIU Eric Y. 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
115 KEE Andrew L. 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
116 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
116 DABNEY Justin 29% 54% 15% 1% - - -
118 EUH Jason 85% 14% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.