May NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
2 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
5 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
7 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
8 LO Conrad 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
9 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% < 1%
10 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
11 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
12 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
13 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
14 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
15 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
16 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
17 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
18 JEON Caleb A. 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
19 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
20 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
21 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
22 LA ROSA Federico 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
23 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
24 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
25 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
26 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
27 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
28 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 98% 79% 36% 4%
29 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
30 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
31 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 1%
32 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
33 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
34 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
35 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
35 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
37 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
38 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
39 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
40 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
41 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
42 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
43 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
44 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
45 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 11%
46 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
47 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 9%
47 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
49 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
50 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
51 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
52 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
53 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 98% 80% 37% 5%
54 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
55 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
56 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
57 LIN Dashiell 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
58 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 82% 40% 9% 1%
59 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
60 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
61 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 7% 1%
62 HUTH Jacob 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
63 EVGENEV Mark 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
64 SINGH Dayaal 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 2%
65 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
66 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
67 THAI William 100% 99% 86% 43% 9% -
68 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
69 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
70 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
71 BAE Kevin 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
72 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
73 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
74 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 95% 63% 20% 3% - -
75 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
76 BING Charles 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
77 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
78 LEE Lukas 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
79 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
80 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
81 CHEN Andrew 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
81 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
83 HSIUNG Richie 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
84 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 99% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
85 HODESS Ethan 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
86 SONG Dylan S. 100% 92% 55% 15% 2% - -
87 LEE Jacob J 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
88 NAGER Noah 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
89 LI Avery Peihong 100% 91% 25% 3% - - -
90 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
91 KIM Aaron J. 100% 86% 46% 12% 2% - -
92 HU Oliver W. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
93 KIM Yonjae 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1%
94 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
95 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% -
96 TAN Christien 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
97 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
98 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 29% 4% - - -
99 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 35% 4% - - -
100 KAO Castor T. 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 1%
101 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 85% 33% 5% - -
102 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 94% 57% 18% 3% -
103 LISONDRA Niko 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
104 AVRON Case B. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
105 OH Jonathan 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
105 KIM BANSEOK J. 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
105 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
108 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 41% 7% - - - -
109 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 31% 4% - - -
110 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
111 CHENG Nathan 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
112 GAO William 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
113 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 37% 6% - - -
114 LIU Eric Y. 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
115 KEE Andrew L. 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
116 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
116 DABNEY Justin 100% 71% 17% 2% - - -
118 EUH Jason 100% 15% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.