Crescent City Open

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 9:30 AM

Riverside Hilton /Fitness by Hilton - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
2 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
3 CLARK Timothy J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
3 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
5 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14% 1%
6 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
7 KLEIN Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 32%
8 JUNG Minche 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% - -
9 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
10 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 XU Alex 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
12 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
13 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
14 SAYLOR Harrison G. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
15 CHIZ Max H. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
16 JACKSON James 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1% -
17 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
18 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
19 SCHWARY Irv 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
20 SCHERNIKAU Jack 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
21 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 92% 57% 20% 3% - -
22 RUNGE Patrick A. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
23 XIE Brandon 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
24 RAY William 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
25 ESHONKULOV Aziz 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
26 MA Bochen 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
27 DAVIS Campbell 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.