Evanston, IL - Evanston, IL, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | ELSAYED Ahmed | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
2 | ZHU Zimo | V V V V V D | V V V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
3 | SILVERS Noah E. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
3 | JOVANOVIC Jovan | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
5 | TUCKER Brad W. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
6 | SHAH S Ayush | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
7 | NOWAK Jakub P. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
8 | IVAKIMOV Vasil | V V D V V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
9 | SUVOROV Yuly | V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
10 | GUINAN Joseph | V V V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
11 | ROSTAL Scott E. | V V V D V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
12 | GORIUNOV IVAN A. | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
13 | DINKINS Ramadan | V D V D V V | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
14 | DITTEL Aaron K. | V V D V D | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
15 | OH Matthew M. | D D D V D | V V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
16 | LI Chenyu | D D D D V D | V V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
17 | GREGORY Abram | V V D V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
18 | WANG David | V V D V D V | V D | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
19 | BENACK Steven M. | V D V V D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
20 | WU Byron | V V D V D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
21 | NGUYEN Tate | D D V V V | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
22 | MCKEEVER Luca | V V D D D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
23 | SMITH Jackson | V D V D V D | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
24 | BUTTZ John-Henry | V V D D D V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
25 | TOPAZ Nicholas | D D D V V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
26 | WILKINSON Derek H. | V D V D D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
27 | TAE William G. | D D V D V D | V D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
28 | BUTLER Joseph D. | D D V D D V | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
29 | STENCEL Andrew E. | D V D D V D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
30 | MORGAN Cooper | D D V V D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
31 | SATTERFIELD Donald | D D V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
32 | SWANSON Dave | D D D D D | V D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
33 | OZANNE Jeffrey S. | V V D V D V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
34 | PRABHAKAR Vibhav | D D V V V | D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
35 | DICKSON Tim | D V V D V | D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
36 | ASGARALLY Anthony | D V D V D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
37 | DENNIS Ethan | V D V D D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
38 | KILUK Andrew | D D V D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
39 | MAYER Vinzenz | D V D D V | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
40 | GLASS Timothy C. | D V V D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
41 | WHEELER Mark C. | D V D D V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
42 | THOMAS Samuel | V D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
43 | BISSEN Quinn | D D V D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
44 | NIKOLOV Peter | D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
45 | DU Drake | V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
46 | KRAJ Pawel | V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
47 | TIERNEY Luke | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
48 | LAUER Michael | D D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
49 | BIESIADA Jacek W. | D D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
50 | HUANG Jason | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
51 | MILLER Lance W. | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
52 | JAMISON-KOENIG Matthias (Thias) P. | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.