The 2018 Austin Challenge SYC & RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 23, 2018 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOUN Minwook - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
2 CHEN Andrew - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 4%
3 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 4% 22% 54% 20%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 2% 21% 77%
5 SONG Aiden S. - - - - - 10% 89%
6 SONG Dylan S. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
7 JEON Caleb A. - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
8 MURRAY Maximo - 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
9 XIAO Ethan J. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
11 REYES Omar - - - 7% 40% 52%
12 MITCHELL Philip D. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
13 WANG Andrew - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
14 GODZHIK Zachary - 2% 13% 37% 37% 12%
15 CHAN Tyler - 2% 14% 43% 41%
16 XIAO EDWARD - 7% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
17 FUKUDA Renzo K. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
18 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
19 LUH Ethan K. 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1%
20 ZHANG Andy W. - - 4% 25% 51% 20%
21 CHEN Allen 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
22 TSAY Jeremy M. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
23 NEWELL Ian A. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
24 KUO Evan 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
25 GORBACHEV Alexander - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
26 MASCARI DUMONT Louis - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
27 GOH Andrew Y. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
28 OH Jonathan - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
29 LAKE Wyatt J. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
30 LI Peihong - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6% -
31 LI Richard - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
32 LEE Aidan - 5% 30% 46% 17% 2%
33 KEE Andrew L. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
34 REEVES Liam 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
35 MASCARI DUMONT Alexandre 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
36 GAO Ryan 2% 22% 42% 28% 6%
37 DAI Jonathan T. - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
38 ZHOU Oscar J. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
39 XIANG Derrick - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
40 YANG Luao - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
41 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
42 JIANG Owen 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
43 DORAN Wesley C. - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
43 STEVENS Paul S. - - 4% 22% 44% 29% 1%
45 KIM BANSEOK 3% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
46 GILLIAM Jason E. 1% 20% 46% 28% 5% -
47 BATANG Cergio Manuel A. 1% 15% 39% 36% 8%
48 SCHOENBERGER Xander S. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19% 1%
49 HUANG Kevin D. 6% 33% 39% 19% 4% - -
50 ELKOUSY Laith H. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
51 MENG Zhaoyi 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
52 FINNEY Lorenz - 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
53 AIBEL Hudson J. 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
54 IVES William R. 4% 44% 40% 10% 1% -
55 HEARN Christen J. 6% 31% 42% 18% 2%
56 ZHENG Jadon 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
57 KISS Phillip A. 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
58 KIM Derek A. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
58 ZHOU Joseph H. 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
60 KIM Ryan Y. 33% 44% 19% 4% - - -
61 LIU Michael H. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
62 OH Joshua 12% 37% 37% 12% 2% - -
63 PIERCE Cody 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
64 BAO Aaron - 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
65 WEEKS Richard P. - < 1% 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
66 CHIN Ryan 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% - -
67 SEALE Cougar 24% 43% 26% 6% - -
68 SHAH Shrey 60% 34% 6% - -
69 ZHENG zhe 86% 14% 1% - - -
70 PRASANNA Advaith 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
71 CUTTER Jackson 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
73 XU Ethan 93% 7% - - - - -
74 APPL Eli 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.