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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The 2018 Austin Challenge SYC & RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 23, 2018 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOUN Minwook 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
2 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
3 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 20%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
5 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
6 SONG Dylan S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
7 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
8 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
9 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
11 REYES Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 52%
12 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% -
13 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 35% 9%
14 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
15 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
16 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
17 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
18 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
19 LUH Ethan K. 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
20 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 20%
21 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
22 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
23 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
24 KUO Evan 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
25 GORBACHEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
26 MASCARI DUMONT Louis 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
27 GOH Andrew Y. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
28 OH Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 4%
29 LAKE Wyatt J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 2%
30 LI Peihong 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6% -
31 LI Richard 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
32 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 95% 64% 19% 2%
33 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
34 REEVES Liam 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
35 MASCARI DUMONT Alexandre 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
36 GAO Ryan 100% 98% 76% 34% 6%
37 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
38 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 7%
39 XIANG Derrick 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
40 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
41 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
42 JIANG Owen 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
43 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
43 STEVENS Paul S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 1%
45 KIM BANSEOK 100% 97% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
46 GILLIAM Jason E. 100% 99% 79% 34% 6% -
47 BATANG Cergio Manuel A. 100% 99% 84% 45% 8%
48 SCHOENBERGER Xander S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% 1%
49 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
50 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
51 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
52 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 85% 50% 16% 3% -
53 AIBEL Hudson J. 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% - -
54 IVES William R. 100% 96% 51% 11% 1% -
55 HEARN Christen J. 100% 94% 62% 21% 2%
56 ZHENG Jadon 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
57 KISS Phillip A. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
58 KIM Derek A. 100% 92% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
58 ZHOU Joseph H. 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
60 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
61 LIU Michael H. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
62 OH Joshua 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% - -
63 PIERCE Cody 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
64 BAO Aaron 100% 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
65 WEEKS Richard P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
66 CHIN Ryan 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
67 SEALE Cougar 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
68 SHAH Shrey 100% 40% 6% - -
69 ZHENG zhe 100% 14% 1% - - -
70 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
71 CUTTER Jackson 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
73 XU Ethan 100% 7% - - - - -
74 APPL Eli 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.