American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
2 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 JUDD Mehta J. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
3 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
5 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
6 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
7 WANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
8 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
9 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
10 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
11 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
12 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
13 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
14 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
15 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
16 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
17 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
18 ZHAO Jesse 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
19 PEGRAM Rafferty G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
20 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
21 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
22 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
23 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
24 GUO Sean 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
24 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
26 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
27 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
28 SELL Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
29 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
30 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
31 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
32 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
33 ZHANG Zixuan "Mark" 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% - -
34 PO Oliver 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
35 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
36 POPESCU Tudor 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
37 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
38 MAGIDSON Josh 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
39 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
40 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
41 WERWA Griffith 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 3% -
42 POPE Alexander 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
43 FINLEY Dylan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
44 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
45 JIN Dennis H. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
46 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
47 CAI Oliver K. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
48 REZA Farazi 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
49 LA BARR Edward T. 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
50 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
51 DRESSEL Jet 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
52 AMRANI David 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
53 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
54 POIROT Max 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
55 SONG Bryan 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% 1%
56 GALLER Dave 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
57 TOMASI John 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
58 SZE Benjamin 100% 19% 2% - - - -
59 ZHANG Teddy 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
60 BAUMANN Gunnar 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
60 SZE Timothy 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
62 XIANG Siyuan 100% 4% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.