American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, June 13, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
2 JOSEPH Willem - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
3 JUDD Mehta J. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
3 TAHOUN Mostafa 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
5 BING Charles - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 28%
6 DESOLA Aidan J. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
7 WANG Michael - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
8 RINEHART Conner M. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
9 LIU Eric Y. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
10 SCHAEFER Joshua M. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
11 CHIN Julian S. - - - 3% 20% 48% 29%
12 LI Eric - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
13 WANG Gerald Y. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
14 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - - - 4% 20% 42% 32%
15 DAUM Charlie - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
16 MOHAMED Murad - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
17 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
18 ZHAO Jesse - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
19 PEGRAM Rafferty G. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
20 ZHAO Dylan L. - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
21 WHITEHEAD Amir - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
22 MOHAMED Amir - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
23 LUM-DEBONO Alex 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
24 GUO Sean - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
24 SICHITIU Alexander - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
26 SIMA Congyu Josh - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
27 STRAYER Andrew - 1% 8% 31% 42% 16% 2%
28 SELL Ethan J. - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
29 KNIZHNIK David - 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
30 WANG Andrew - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
31 GAUTAM Vishnu 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
32 MILLER Aidan A. - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
33 ZHANG Zixuan "Mark" 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
34 PO Oliver - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
35 TALLARICO Matthew 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
36 POPESCU Tudor 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% - -
37 TIAN Aaron C. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
38 MAGIDSON Josh 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
39 ORLOV Dmitriy 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
40 PITERBARG Maxim - 20% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
41 WERWA Griffith 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2% -
42 POPE Alexander 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
43 FINLEY Dylan 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
44 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
45 JIN Dennis H. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
46 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
47 CAI Oliver K. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
48 REZA Farazi 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
49 LA BARR Edward T. 6% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
50 MENG Zhaoyi 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
51 DRESSEL Jet 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
52 AMRANI David 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
53 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
54 POIROT Max 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
55 SONG Bryan 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
56 GALLER Dave 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
57 TOMASI John 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
58 SZE Benjamin 81% 18% 2% - - - -
59 ZHANG Teddy 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
60 BAUMANN Gunnar 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
60 SZE Timothy 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
62 XIANG Siyuan 96% 4% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.