USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Foil

Friday, July 8, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Jackson - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
2 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
3 MILLER Aidan A. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
3 DETERING Julian - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
5 WANG Ethan - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 TANG Albert - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
7 PARK Gabriel - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
8 SMITH Grant D. 4% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1%
9 PITERBARG Maxim - - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
10 EDWARDS Maxon - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
11 FINLEY Dylan - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
12 WANG Winston - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
13 LIU Michael H. - - - 4% 29% 67%
14 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
15 WONG Luke S. - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
16 HUANG Eythan 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
17 SHEN Owen - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
17 WU Michael 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
19 LYNCH Owen C. - 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2%
20 SONG Austin - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
21 MYERS Dean - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
22 SHAPIRO Leon 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
23 CHOE Jayden K. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
24 OH Jaden - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
25 LI Jett - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
26 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% -
27 TIKHAEV Alexander - 5% 26% 40% 25% 5%
28 CHEN Justin K. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
29 SINHA Verdhaan - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
30 STRINGER David - 1% 4% 18% 35% 33% 10%
31 LLIDO Soren - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
32 LI Samuel - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
33 KHER Roan - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
34 KLEIN Sebastian W. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
35 KITAGAWA Eric S. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
36 SONG Noel 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
37 KIM Adrian - 7% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
38 HARRIS Otto - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
39 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
40 SETLUR Bhrugu - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
41 ZHEN Ethan - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
42 ANDERSON Jacob - 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
43 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
44 DE COQUET Maximilian 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
45 LISONDRA Niko - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
46 ANDRIC Borna - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
47 GUO Sean - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
48 TSINIS Alexander E. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
49 CAPRA Ethan - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6%
50 SHAO Eric - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
51 TALASILA Arush 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
52 FANG Jaden 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
53 PLASTARAS Trey - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
54 CHREKY Jacob D. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
55 KRYLTSOV Michael - - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
55 POPE Alexander 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
57 LIPPMAN Sam - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
58 NG Kenneth - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
59 ARANA Massimo - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
60 WU Alistair 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
61 SEEDS Edward T. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
62 PEGRAM Rafferty G. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
63 MONTALBINE Aidan - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
64 HUANG Alston 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
65 CHIN Ryan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
66 ZOU Yuming - 4% 25% 42% 25% 4%
67 MENG Zhaoyi - - 6% 31% 45% 18%
68 WATKINS Christian S. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
69 FINNEY Lorenz - - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
70 VALENTON Timothy - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
71 LEVY Jacob - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
72 TALLARICO Matthew - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
73 TEH Ryan - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
74 BENTLEY Nick - 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
75 UZGIRIS Kovas - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
75 MCQUIDE elliot 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
77 HOLCOMB Cedric 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
78 WILKINS Mateo 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
79 TAN Peter - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
80 BOUCHARD Kai 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
81 HUANG Kevin D. 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
82 ARIZA Abraham J. - 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
83 ZHAO Bowen 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
83 YAP Nathan - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
85 FECHTMEYER Theodore 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
86 LIU Ryan - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
87 ROSS III Paul D. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
88 CANCIO Alejandro R. 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
89 BROWN Darius D. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
90 OLSON Emerson 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
91 CHEZ Nolan 3% 30% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
92 LIM Charles Q. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
93 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
94 TSAI William 2% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
95 RNO Kyler 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
96 DECKER Evan M. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
96 CASELLINI Matteo 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
98 WEBB Jacob T. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9%
99 WOHLERS Trevor 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
100 TOMASI John 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
101 BARRETT Austin 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
102 CHOI Simon 13% 33% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
103 DREW Nicolas 1% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
104 REICHEL Ezra 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
105 WAKEHAM Paul 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
106 LEE Eugene 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
107 CHEW Aaron - 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
108 BOOTHMAN Colby - 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
109 AGRAWAL Niki 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
110 STUEBEN William E. - - 1% 9% 42% 48%
111 GREENLEAF Paul 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
112 CHEN Brian 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
113 LEE Jayden 4% 34% 42% 17% 3% -
114 MAGALONG William 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
115 XU Ethan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
116 KENNEDY Michael - 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
117 LOU Andy - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
118 HINTON Nickolys R. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
119 WILLIAMS Kenneth H. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
120 LI Ayren - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
121 QUINTERO Julian 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
122 COTTER Jeffrey V. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
123 KAPOOR Aayan - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
124 SALLEY Gus 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
125 MOE Annan 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
126 JIA Jing Yu 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
127 DALVA Michael 6% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
128 XU Dinghui Ryan 19% 51% 25% 5% - -
129 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
130 SAMAHA Nicholas J. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
130 KANDAGADLA Rishi - 4% 17% 31% 31% 14% 3%
132 MILLON Amani 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
133 DEL CASTILLO Kyle - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
134 WANG Julang 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
135 WILSON Samuel S. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
136 BREWNER Ethan 58% 37% 5% - - -
137 COLLUM Thomas 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1%
138 LEUNG Jin 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
139 MARTIN William 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% -
140 TOWSTER Robert 18% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
141 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 22% 43% 27% 8% 1% -
142 BLACKLEDGE Michael 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
143 SIDDIQI Amman 73% 23% 3% - - - -
144 WENGER Caleb 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
144 BASS Nathan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
144 FRANKE GORDON Johnathon - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
147 LUAN Tian 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
148 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
148 SCHOENACK Noah 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
150 COFFIN Carleton 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
151 SUBRAMANIAN Johnathan 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
152 FREDEN Matthew A. 2% 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
153 NIEMIEC Mark 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
154 WAKEHAM Timothy 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
155 GLADNICK Michael J. - 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
155 STINSON Tucker 22% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
157 LEE Alex 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
158 YANG Ethan J. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
158 JOHNSON Owen 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
160 ROBINSON Matthew 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
161 ZHANG Jin 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
162 KIM Harrison 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
163 SCHOENACK Jason A. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
163 POIROT Max 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
165 BOCKSNICK John Robert 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
166 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 5% 26% 42% 24% 3% -
166 PAUTOV Dmitriy 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
168 OBERLY Nicholas 6% 39% 39% 14% 2% - -
168 BROWN Jason 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
170 YUAN Austin 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
171 FAN Yuchen 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
172 HOLCOMB Michael 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
173 MOHAMED Ahmed 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
174 HAYLON Caleb 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
175 MEMMOTT Ben 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% - -
176 LASKONIS Jacob 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
177 MARTIN Dexter 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
178 WEMPLE Charles 61% 32% 6% - - - -
179 NEWELL Tim 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
180 KUO Chris C. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
181 GADIYARAM Madhav 76% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.