USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Foil

Friday, July 8, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Jackson 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
2 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 16%
3 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
6 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
7 PARK Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
8 SMITH Grant D. 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
9 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
10 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
11 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
12 WANG Winston 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
13 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
14 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
15 WONG Luke S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
16 HUANG Eythan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
17 SHEN Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
17 WU Michael 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
19 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
20 SONG Austin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
21 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
22 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
23 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
24 OH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
25 LI Jett 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
26 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 98% 86% 50% 13% -
27 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
28 CHEN Justin K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
29 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
30 STRINGER David 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
31 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
32 LI Samuel 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
33 KHER Roan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
34 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
35 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
36 SONG Noel 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
37 KIM Adrian 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
38 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
39 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
40 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
41 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
42 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 9%
43 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
44 DE COQUET Maximilian 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
45 LISONDRA Niko 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
46 ANDRIC Borna 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
47 GUO Sean 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
48 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
49 CAPRA Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
50 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
51 TALASILA Arush 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
52 FANG Jaden 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
53 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
54 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
55 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
55 POPE Alexander 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
57 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
58 NG Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
59 ARANA Massimo 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 12%
60 WU Alistair 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
61 SEEDS Edward T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
62 PEGRAM Rafferty G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
63 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
64 HUANG Alston 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
65 CHIN Ryan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
66 ZOU Yuming 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 4%
67 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 18%
68 WATKINS Christian S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
69 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 9%
70 VALENTON Timothy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
71 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
72 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
73 TEH Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
74 BENTLEY Nick 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
75 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
75 MCQUIDE elliot 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
77 HOLCOMB Cedric 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
78 WILKINS Mateo 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
79 TAN Peter 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
80 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
81 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
82 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
83 ZHAO Bowen 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
83 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
85 FECHTMEYER Theodore 100% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
86 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
87 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
88 CANCIO Alejandro R. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
89 BROWN Darius D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
90 OLSON Emerson 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
91 CHEZ Nolan 100% 97% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
92 LIM Charles Q. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
93 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
94 TSAI William 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
95 RNO Kyler 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
96 DECKER Evan M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
96 CASELLINI Matteo 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
98 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
99 WOHLERS Trevor 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
100 TOMASI John 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
101 BARRETT Austin 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
102 CHOI Simon 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
103 DREW Nicolas 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 5% -
104 REICHEL Ezra 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
105 WAKEHAM Paul 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
106 LEE Eugene 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
107 CHEW Aaron 100% 100% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
108 BOOTHMAN Colby 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4%
109 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
110 STUEBEN William E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
111 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
112 CHEN Brian 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
113 LEE Jayden 100% 96% 62% 20% 3% -
114 MAGALONG William 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
115 XU Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
116 KENNEDY Michael 100% 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
117 LOU Andy 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
118 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
119 WILLIAMS Kenneth H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
120 LI Ayren 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
121 QUINTERO Julian 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
122 COTTER Jeffrey V. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
123 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
124 SALLEY Gus 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
125 MOE Annan 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
126 JIA Jing Yu 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
127 DALVA Michael 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% - -
128 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 81% 31% 6% - -
129 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
130 SAMAHA Nicholas J. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
130 KANDAGADLA Rishi 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
132 MILLON Amani 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
133 DEL CASTILLO Kyle 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
134 WANG Julang 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
135 WILSON Samuel S. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
136 BREWNER Ethan 100% 42% 6% - - -
137 COLLUM Thomas 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
138 LEUNG Jin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
139 MARTIN William 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
140 TOWSTER Robert 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
141 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% -
142 BLACKLEDGE Michael 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
143 SIDDIQI Amman 100% 27% 3% - - - -
144 WENGER Caleb 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
144 BASS Nathan 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
144 FRANKE GORDON Johnathon 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
147 LUAN Tian 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
148 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
148 SCHOENACK Noah 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
150 COFFIN Carleton 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
151 SUBRAMANIAN Johnathan 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
152 FREDEN Matthew A. 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
153 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
154 WAKEHAM Timothy 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
155 GLADNICK Michael J. 100% 100% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
155 STINSON Tucker 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
157 LEE Alex 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
158 YANG Ethan J. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
158 JOHNSON Owen 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
160 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
161 ZHANG Jin 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
162 KIM Harrison 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
163 SCHOENACK Jason A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
163 POIROT Max 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
165 BOCKSNICK John Robert 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
166 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 100% 95% 69% 27% 3% -
166 PAUTOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
168 OBERLY Nicholas 100% 94% 55% 16% 2% - -
168 BROWN Jason 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
170 YUAN Austin 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
171 FAN Yuchen 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
172 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
173 MOHAMED Ahmed 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
174 HAYLON Caleb 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
175 MEMMOTT Ben 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% - -
176 LASKONIS Jacob 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
177 MARTIN Dexter 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
178 WEMPLE Charles 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
179 NEWELL Tim 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
180 KUO Chris C. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
181 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.