USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Foil

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
2 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
3 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 36%
3 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
5 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
6 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
8 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
9 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
10 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
11 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
11 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
11 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
14 YI William 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
15 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
16 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
17 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 22%
18 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
19 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
20 PARK Rion 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
21 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
22 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 14%
23 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
24 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
25 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 51%
25 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
27 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 3%
28 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
29 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
30 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
31 NGAI Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
32 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
33 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
34 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
35 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
36 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
37 LI Allen 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
38 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
39 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
40 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
41 YANG Charles 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
42 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
43 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
44 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
45 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
46 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 18%
47 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
48 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
49 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
50 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
50 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
52 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12% 1%
53 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
54 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
55 ZHANG Graham 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
56 LU Nathan 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% 1% -
57 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 5%
58 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
59 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
59 BIELER Mason 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
61 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 6%
62 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
63 LIU ERIC 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
64 CHUN Dashel 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
65 LEE Charles T 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
66 PARK David 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
67 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
67 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
69 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14% 1%
69 SHAW eric 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
71 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
72 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
73 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
74 TULYAG Azim 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 10% 1%
75 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14% 1%
76 KAWADA Sebastien 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
77 CHUANG Oscar 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
78 PAN Edwin 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
79 CHANG Jeremy 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 2%
80 CHANG Jonathan 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
81 DANIEL Nikith 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
82 LU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
83 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
84 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
85 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
86 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5% -
87 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 2% -
87 ZHOU Ryan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
89 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
89 WONG Evan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
91 UHLIG Cole 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
91 LI Richard 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
91 LING Carson Jr 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 4% -
94 ZHANG Jacob 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
95 DHOKTE Neev 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
96 FUKUDA Brando 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
97 WANG Ancen 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
98 DENG David 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
99 CHEN Ethan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
100 WU Thomas 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
101 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
102 SHEN Oliver 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
103 MO Ethan 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
103 CHEN Hanson 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
105 CHEN Matthew 100% 88% 47% 10% 1% -
106 XU Nathan 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
107 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
108 PARK William 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
109 DULAI Angad 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
110 WINGLER Cole 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
111 YU William 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
112 PETROV Mikhail 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
113 GORDON William L. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
114 ZHANG Lucas 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
115 JOHNSON Soren 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
116 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
117 KOE Beckett 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
118 HUANG Jinyao 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
119 HE Ian 100% 82% 31% 5% - - -
120 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
121 WANDJI Noah 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
122 JIN Andy 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
123 ONG Nicholas 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
124 ALKADI Zain 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
125 SUAREZ David 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
126 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
127 LAO Kevin 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% -
128 LEE Jayden 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
129 KIM Seoheul 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
130 UPENDER West 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% - -
131 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
132 CHEN David 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
133 HE Bourne 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
134 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
135 HOM Logan 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
136 QIAN Zekai 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
137 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
138 NI Kevin 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% - -
139 WANG Rory 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
139 MARTIRE Luca 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
141 BLACK Henry 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
141 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
143 LU Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
144 TANG Royce 100% 99% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
144 SHANNON Jack 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
144 WENGER Liam 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
147 LIU Robert 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
147 DONOHUE Taylor 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
149 ZHAO Ryan 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
149 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
151 POPOKH Luca 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
152 ZHOU Alex 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
153 SICAT Justin 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
153 KOE Declan 100% 90% 52% 14% 2% - -
153 WANG rainier 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
156 KUE Temujin 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
157 LIANG Ethan 100% 39% 6% - - - -
158 TACK Everett 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
159 HICKEY Connor 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
160 CHAN Joseph 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
161 RUSSELL Paul 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
162 KIM Gene 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
163 YAN Rian 100% 89% 49% 10% 1% -
164 HUA Aaron 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
165 WEI JR Shan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
165 SUN Neo 100% 45% 7% 1% - - -
167 CHEW Brandon 100% 97% 79% 38% 8% 1%
168 O'LEARY Colin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
168 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
168 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
171 ZHANG Hanson 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
172 YUE Jackson 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
172 GOGOI Kavi 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% - -
174 BANUELOS Dario 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
175 SHAW Spencer 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.