Wang Memorial RYC and Div 1A/2 ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 27, 2022 at 8:00 AM

ESports Stadium (formerly Arlington Convention Ctr) - Arlington, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUNDA Saketh 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
2 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
3 BARGE Jackson 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
3 XIAO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
5 DEES Reed 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
6 STETSON Jahaan 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
7 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
8 GONZALEZ Michael 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
9 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
10 COLE Cayden 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
11 WEN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
12 SMITH Dylan 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
13 YANG Zeph 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
14 MING Nathan 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
15 JONES Bennett 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
16 BROWN Allan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
17 VAUGHN Matthew (Manny) E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
18 XIONG Aaron 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
19 RUNGE Patrick A. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
20 WALTERS Page 100% 100% 100% 97% 70% 19%
21 HESSE Hans 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
22 SCHULTZ John 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
23 POAGE Ian 100% 92% 56% 14% 1% -
24 HAGER Spencer 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
25 RAO Neil 100% 92% 54% 17% 2% -
26 KERLEE Zachary 100% 73% 25% 4% - - -
27 SMITH Ian 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
28 POTHIER Mark 100% 57% 14% 1% - -
29 STARR Michael 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
30 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% -
31 SALEH Omar 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% -
32 SINHA Zaan 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
33 MASK Austin 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
34 THURMAN Neo 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% -
35 ERTEL Mark C. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
36 SUNIL Rishab 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% -
37 GUERRA Gannon R. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.