DCFC Champagne Challenge #6

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 27, 2022 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 34%
3 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
5 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
6 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 6%
7 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
8 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 71% 13%
9 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 3%
10 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
11 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
12 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 5%
13 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
14 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 94% 62% 14% 1%
15 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
16 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
17 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
18 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
19 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
20 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
21 WANG Trontour 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
22 ZHANG Richard 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% - -
23 ZHANG Andy 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
24 COLLEY Joshua 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
25 LIN Harrison 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% - -
26 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
27 SINGH Aryaman 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
28 HUGHES Michael D. 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 4% -
29 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
30 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
31 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2%
32 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
33 SELLAR Ian 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
34 JORDAN Anton 100% 99% 84% 36% 5% -
35 CAO Brad 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
36 SO Lorenzo 100% 95% 62% 23% 5% - -
37 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 61% 13% 1% - -
38 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
39 MILLER Kurt 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
40 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
41 SOLDATOV Faddey 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
42 WILLIAMS Rhys 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 1% -
43 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
44 ARMSTRONG Gary 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
45 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 64% 14% 1% - -
46 SMITH Auynha 100% 36% 6% - - - -
47 SIMS Martin L. 100% 52% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.