April Championship and NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, April 12, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
2 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
3 COX Matthew T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
3 BURTON Patrick 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
5 GORDON-SAND Spencer 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 1%
6 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
7 GOLDMAN Rami 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
8 CUMMINGS Kai W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
9 GREEN Jake L. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
10 BRONZO Justin G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
11 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
12 JONES Dominic R. 100% 100% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
13 TODREAS Simon 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
14 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
15 STEVENS James F. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
16 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
17 MAENG Jake W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
18 DRAKE Owen G. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
19 LI Brian X 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
20 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
21 YAO Shun 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
22 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 10%
23 XIAO Zherui 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
24 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
25 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
26 ROMERO Caleb E. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
27 LAWLER Aidan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
28 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
29 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 9%
30 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
31 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
32 BURCH Tristan H. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
33 HU Alexander W. 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
34 KAEDING Alexander (Alex) B. 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
35 WEISE Eli S. 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
36 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
37 WESTMAAS Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
38 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
39 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
40 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 97% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
41 SMAY II Joseph E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
42 KUHN Jeffrey 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
43 PARTRIDGE Lucas F. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
44 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
45 KRUGER Mark (Mark Kruger) 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
46 THORESON Gary C. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
47 FANGMAN Daniel L. 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
48 KASTENBERG Leo M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
48 VAN VOORHEES Andrew 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
50 RYAN Christopher 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
51 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
52 SPENCER Richard (Spenc) E. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
53 KATOPES Peter 100% 32% 4% - - - -
54 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
55 SMITH Brandon J. 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
56 GRAVIS Martin V. 100% 63% 23% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.