March NAC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
2 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
3 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 21%
3 NGUYEN martin 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
5 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
6 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
7 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
8 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 16%
9 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
10 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
11 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
12 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
13 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
14 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
15 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
16 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
17 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
18 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
19 YI William 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
20 GULCHIN Mark 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
21 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
22 ZHAO Adam 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3%
23 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 22%
23 YU Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
25 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
26 GHEDINI Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
27 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
28 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
29 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
30 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 2%
31 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
32 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
33 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
34 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
35 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
36 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
37 KOE Beckett 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
38 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
39 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 1%
40 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
41 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 8%
42 CHINO CONSTANTIN 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
43 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
44 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
45 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
46 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
46 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
48 YANG Charles 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
49 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
50 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
51 HOU Gaven 100% 99% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
52 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
53 SION Andrew 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
54 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
55 DESERANNO Leander 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
56 LIU ERIC 100% 97% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
57 GERRISH William 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
58 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
59 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
60 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
61 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
62 MO Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
63 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
64 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
65 WONG Jacob W. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
66 CHO Xzander 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
67 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
68 SUI Samuel 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
69 BORG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
70 JIN Andy 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -
71 ZENG Rick 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
72 PARK Rion 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
73 ADAN Jacobo 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
74 VADEN Oliver 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
75 LEE Charles T 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
76 DE LAUZON AUGUSTIN 100% 75% 35% 10% 1% - -
77 ZHANG Alex 100% 100% 95% 64% 23% 3%
78 WONG Evan 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2%
79 LU Kevin 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
80 CHUANG Oscar 100% 99% 91% 55% 15% 1%
81 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
82 CHANG Jeremy 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
83 MASSIMINO Andrew 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
84 SIMMES Jackson 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
85 SHANNON Jack 100% 73% 22% 3% - -
86 ZHANG Lucas 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
87 PARK Sangmin (Steve) 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
88 FUKUDA Brando 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
89 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
89 TOOMRE Kai 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
91 ZHAO Ryan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
92 CHENG Logan 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
93 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
94 ZHANG Max 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
95 HUA Aaron 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
96 CHUN Dashel 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% - -
97 LU Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
98 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
99 TANG Royce 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
99 ZHANG Graham 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
101 NGAI Julian 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
102 PAN Edwin 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
102 LE Jacob H. 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
102 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
105 SUAREZ David 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
106 MORROW Sean 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
107 HE Kyle 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
108 WEI JR Shan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
109 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
110 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
111 WANDJI Noah 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
112 DHOKTE Neev 100% 99% 90% 51% 12% 1%
113 BIELER Mason 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
114 LU Nathan 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
115 MARISI Gabriel 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
116 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
117 PETROV Mikhail 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
118 XIE Jicheng 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
119 PARK William 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
120 QIAN Zekai 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% - -
121 MARTIRE Luca 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
122 WU Thomas 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
123 YU William 100% 79% 30% 6% 1% - -
124 HONG Logan 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
124 YU Rainger 100% 40% 6% - - - -
126 HUANG Jinyao 100% 88% 49% 16% 3% - -
127 POPOKH Luca 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
128 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
129 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
130 ZHOU Alex 100% 89% 29% 4% - -
131 HE Ryan 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
132 SHAW Spencer 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
133 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 72% 25% 4% - -
134 MOREA Anderson 100% 89% 54% 16% 2% - -
134 ZHENG Marcus 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
136 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
137 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 21% 1% - - -
138 NOLAN Tyler 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
139 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 94% 66% 25% 3% -
140 XU Nathan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.