DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 MOORE Shomari A. - - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
2 NORTH Gary S. - - - - 6% 39% 54%
3 KWOUN Miles S. - 1% 6% 24% 41% 26% 2%
3 CHAWLA Armaan - - 1% 11% 35% 42% 11%
5 HARDY Tristan L. - - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
6 DEUCHER Joseph H. - - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
7 ELLIS Yehia S. - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
8 SMOAK Omari Z. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 1% 6% 26% 47% 21%
10 JORDAN Anton - 2% 14% 35% 37% 11% 1%
11 UPSHAW Micah - 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
12 LI Benjamin - - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
13 TAMULONIS Fen C. - - 5% 26% 43% 22% 3%
13 DOAN Joseph M. - - 2% 15% 39% 37% 8%
15 ZHANG Caden 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
16 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 1% 9% 34% 40% 16% 2%
17 TABLEMAN Doug S. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
18 WOLFE Alex - - 2% 10% 27% 37% 20% 4%
19 SO Lorenzo 1% 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
20 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca - 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% -
21 HRAPSKY Ryan J. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
22 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
23 HANSEN Lars - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
24 ANDREWS Iain - 1% 8% 32% 40% 18% 2%
25 CAO Albert - - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
26 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
27 CAO Brad - - 4% 17% 34% 31% 11% 1%
28 MURPHY Thomas P. 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
29 LIN Harrison 3% 24% 46% 22% 4% - -
30 LEE JoonWon 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
31 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
32 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua - 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
33 TIRRELL Justin J. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
34 LIU Nicole 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
35 LE BORGNE Matthieu 6% 43% 38% 12% 2% - -
36 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 6% 1%
37 ROTHKA Spencer J. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 5% - -
38 SOKOL Luke 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1% -
39 ASHER Valerie - 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
40 MARTINEZ Joshua - 5% 20% 36% 29% 8% -
41 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
42 LEE Aiden - 8% 38% 38% 13% 2% -
43 GAUVEY Ken C. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
44 SELLAR Ian 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
45 FRENCH Phaelen 62% 33% 5% - - - -
46 MEGGERS Davin 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
47 HULL Liam 2% 17% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
48 HUTZ Michael B. 2% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1% -
49 SIEDOW William - 69% 27% 3% - - -
50 DAN Chuntao 30% 47% 20% 3% - - -
51 BLACK Ethan 34% 48% 16% 2% - - -
52 ZHANG Sen 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - - -
53 DAN Rex 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
54 BANNEN Nicholas 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
55 MURPHY Katherine 24% 49% 23% 4% - - -
56 JOHNSON Merit 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
57 MEGGERS Samuel 52% 38% 9% 1% - - - -
58 SAMPAIO Beatriz 27% 40% 24% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.