DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
3 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 2%
3 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 11%
5 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
6 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
8 SMOAK Omari Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 21%
10 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12% 1%
11 UPSHAW Micah 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
12 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
13 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3%
13 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8%
15 ZHANG Caden 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
16 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
17 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
18 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
19 SO Lorenzo 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
20 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
21 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
22 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
23 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
24 ANDREWS Iain 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 2%
25 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
26 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
27 CAO Brad 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
28 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
29 LIN Harrison 100% 97% 73% 27% 4% - -
30 LEE JoonWon 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
31 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
32 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
33 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
34 LIU Nicole 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
35 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 94% 52% 14% 2% - -
36 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
37 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
38 SOKOL Luke 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
39 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
40 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8% -
41 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
42 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 91% 53% 15% 2% -
43 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
44 SELLAR Ian 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
45 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 38% 5% - - - -
46 MEGGERS Davin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
47 HULL Liam 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
48 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1% -
49 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 31% 3% - - -
50 DAN Chuntao 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
51 BLACK Ethan 100% 66% 17% 2% - - -
52 ZHANG Sen 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% 1% - -
53 DAN Rex 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
54 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 87% 49% 16% 2% - -
55 MURPHY Katherine 100% 76% 27% 4% - - -
56 JOHNSON Merit 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
57 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 48% 11% 1% - - - -
58 SAMPAIO Beatriz 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.