DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 20, 2022 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 89% 42%
2 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
3 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
3 CAO Albert 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
5 DUAN Eric 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
6 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 32%
7 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
8 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
9 LIN Harrison 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
10 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
11 SO Lorenzo 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
12 CHEN Brian 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
13 KORSCHUN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 80% 28% 3%
14 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
15 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 92% 59% 19% 2%
16 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
17 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
18 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
19 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
20 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
21 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
22 USDIN Anton 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5% -
23 WRIGHT Ezra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
24 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
25 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 13%
26 HULL Liam 100% 85% 31% 5% - - -
27 LEE JoonWon 100% 99% 86% 48% 12% 1%
28 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 90% 52% 10% 1% -
29 LEE Aiden 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
30 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% -
31 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 99% 85% 42% 9% 1% -
32 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
33 CAO Brad 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
34 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 91% 47% 11% 1% -
35 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
36 BLACK Ethan 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
37 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
38 ROBITZSKI David R. 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
39 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 74% 26% 3% - -
40 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
41 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 36% 4% - - - -
42 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 33% 4% - - -
43 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2% -
44 MACE Eliza M. 100% 43% 7% - - - -
45 DAN Rex 100% 69% 21% 2% - -
46 MACTOUGH Ben 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.