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NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - - 12% 88%
2 JIN Owen - - 3% 20% 44% 32%
3 MACZIK Adam W. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
3 INSLER Ethan C. - - - 6% 44% 49%
5 WU Jonathan - - 3% 14% 37% 39% 7%
6 DOELEMAN Zeno - - 2% 12% 35% 41% 9%
7 GAO Daniel - - 1% 11% 36% 42% 9%
8 CARPENTER Liam - - - - 4% 29% 67%
9 GREGORY Abram - 1% 7% 30% 50% 13%
10 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
11 ZHANG William - 1% 9% 40% 42% 7%
12 ZHAO Corey - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
13 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 5% 26% 45% 22%
14 WU Joseph - - - - 6% 31% 63%
15 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 2% 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
16 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - 1% 12% 35% 39% 13%
17 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin - - 1% 12% 54% 33%
18 SIMPSON Patrick - - 5% 25% 41% 25% 3%
19 ROUSE Brian G. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
20 YU Colin - - - 3% 29% 68%
21 MELCHER Jack H. - - - 5% 32% 63%
22 BUSH Thomas - 1% 13% 45% 36% 5%
23 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - - 7% 28% 41% 21% 3%
24 WYATT Seth - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
25 ZELIN Sam J. 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
26 BEALS Alden 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
27 OSTIGUY Cameron 1% 11% 39% 37% 12% 1%
28 MECHKOV Iliya - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
29 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - 1% 11% 35% 37% 15% 1%
30 MATEI Daniel - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
31 WANG Justin 3% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
32 SPRINGER Michael - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
33 SHAH Maximilian A. - - 2% 19% 72% 8%
34 PRIHODKO Max - 4% 23% 41% 26% 5%
35 BELLIVEAU Shane 2% 18% 45% 32% 4% -
36 SANTOS Francisco M. 10% 40% 38% 11% 1% -
36 MACNEILL Owen 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
38 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
39 SHA Michael 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
40 SANTOS Antonio K. - 10% 40% 36% 12% 2% -
41 CAFASSO Martin 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
42 JIANG Ryan 5% 23% 40% 26% 5% -
43 XIE Brandon 6% 34% 45% 14% 1% -
44 SKAALAND Will - 5% 27% 43% 22% 3%
45 ZHANG William 2% 21% 44% 29% 4% -
46 SMITH Troy H. 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2%
47 MEN Junda 23% 47% 25% 4% - -
48 SANTOS Felipe 1% 12% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
49 BRUEGGEMANN Max - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
50 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
51 MILGRAM Aaron 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
52 MARINI Davide 9% 45% 35% 10% 1% -
52 STEIN Philip 69% 28% 3% - - -
52 PEZZINO Matthew 26% 52% 20% 3% - -
55 LIU Jeremiah W. 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
56 QUINLAN Sean 2% 16% 44% 34% 3% -
57 ZHANG Roland 46% 43% 10% 1% - -
58 SONG Troy 14% 47% 33% 6% - -
59 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 39% 46% 14% 1% - -
60 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
60 GRAYSON Joshua 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
62 MCILWAIN Wesley D. 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
63 KAIN Brad 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
64 SAULSBERRY Saliim 72% 26% 2% - - - -
65 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 3% 21% 43% 30% 4% -
66 SPRINGER Elijah 13% 56% 26% 4% - - -
67 ACKLAND Matthew 52% 39% 8% - - -
68 HU Jansen T. 4% 23% 41% 27% 5% -
69 HUGHES Jack 13% 37% 36% 12% 2% - -
70 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 71% 25% 3% - - - -
70 BUTTS Brendan 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.