NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 1, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
3 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 49%
5 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 7%
6 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 9%
7 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 9%
8 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
9 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 13%
10 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
11 ZHANG William 100% 100% 99% 90% 49% 7%
12 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
13 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
14 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
15 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
16 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
17 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 33%
18 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 3%
19 ROUSE Brian G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
20 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
21 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
22 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 99% 86% 41% 5%
23 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
24 WYATT Seth 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
25 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
26 BEALS Alden 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3% -
27 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 99% 88% 50% 13% 1%
28 MECHKOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
29 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 1%
30 MATEI Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% 1%
31 WANG Justin 100% 97% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
32 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
33 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 8%
34 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 5%
35 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 98% 80% 35% 4% -
36 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 90% 49% 12% 1% -
36 MACNEILL Owen 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
38 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
39 SHA Michael 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
40 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
41 CAFASSO Martin 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
42 JIANG Ryan 100% 95% 72% 32% 6% -
43 XIE Brandon 100% 94% 60% 15% 1% -
44 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 3%
45 ZHANG William 100% 98% 77% 33% 4% -
46 SMITH Troy H. 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
47 MEN Junda 100% 77% 29% 4% - -
48 SANTOS Felipe 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
49 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
50 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
51 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
52 MARINI Davide 100% 91% 46% 11% 1% -
52 STEIN Philip 100% 31% 3% - - -
52 PEZZINO Matthew 100% 74% 23% 3% - -
55 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
56 QUINLAN Sean 100% 98% 82% 38% 3% -
57 ZHANG Roland 100% 54% 11% 1% - -
58 SONG Troy 100% 86% 39% 6% - -
59 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 61% 15% 1% - -
60 PAPSUN Benjamin J. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
60 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
62 MCILWAIN Wesley D. 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
63 KAIN Brad 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
64 SAULSBERRY Saliim 100% 28% 2% - - - -
65 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 97% 76% 33% 4% -
66 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 87% 31% 5% - - -
67 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 48% 9% - - -
68 HU Jansen T. 100% 96% 73% 32% 5% -
69 HUGHES Jack 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
70 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 100% 29% 3% - - - -
70 BUTTS Brendan 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.