Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RICHARD silas | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 2 | TANG William | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 3 | LOFTUS Luca | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 3 | CHOI Zachary | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 5 | CHEN Bailey | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 6 | TONG Samuel | V V V V D | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 7 | LI Yunji | V D V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | CHANG Andrew | D V V V D | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | LEVENTAL Mark | V V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 10 | LI Ethan R. | V V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 11 | PIVOVAROV Lucas | V V V D V V | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 12 | YU Austin | V V D V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 13 | SIM Ian | V V V V D | V D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 14 | MANA Arnav | D V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | WAGHOLIKAR Prathit | D D V V V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 16 | WANG Devin | V V D D D | V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 17 | MA Ryan | V D V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 18 | ZHAO Colin | V V D V V | D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 19 | ZHAO Yihan | V D V V D V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 20 | REID Wesley | V D V V V D | D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 21 | HIGGINS Calvin | V D D V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 22 | WU Eric | D V D V D V | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 23 | GUO Woody | D D D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 24 | LEUNG Dylan | V D D D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 25 | CLAES Thomas | D V V D D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 26 | BAKKEN Archer | V D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 26 | HSU Joshua | V D D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 28 | YAN Eric | D V V D D D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 29 | WONG Preston | D V D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 30 | WU Steven | D D V D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 31 | CHAUDHURI Kabir | D D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 32 | QIAO James | D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 33 | LAU Alex | D D V V V | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 34 | DENG Andes | D V D D V | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 35 | ZHOU Lawrence | D V D D V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 36 | YAO Tristan | D D V D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 36 | HOROWITZ Gavin | D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 38 | GUIRAUDET Alistair | D D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 39 | JAO Aaron | V D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 40 | JAMES Kaden | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 41 | COLLINS Kaden | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 42 | LIU Max | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 43 | LAM Ethan | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 44 | NARAYANUN Advay | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.